Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Sep | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #3 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 16 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| -3 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Vicarage Road. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Watford FC and Middlesbrough FC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 23' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. Hayden Hackney will be fuming at that decision.
- 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 33' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Jebbison made 371 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' Against the run of play, George Edmundson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aidan Morris suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' Another change for Watford FC made on 62 minute. Daniel Jebbison leaves to be changed by Kwadwo Baah.
- 64' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Ben Doak trudges off to be replaced by Isaiah Jones on 64 minutes.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Riley McGree. He replaces Micah Hamilton on 65 minute.
- 69' Another change for Watford FC made on 69 minute. Moussa Sissoko leaves to be changed by Edo Kayembe.
- 74' Watford FC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 75' Edo Kayembe adds to his 0 season tally! Watford FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 77' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Emmanuel Latte Lath is replaced by Delano Burgzorg on 77 minute.
- 82' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 87' What a moment for Kwadwo Baah! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
- 89' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Aidan Morris by Marcus Forss on 89 minute.
- 89' Ryan Porteous was booked on 89.
- 90' Watford FC make a change. Ken Sema trudges off to be replaced by Yasser Larouci on 90 minutes.
- 90' Poor challenge from Kwadwo Baah. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Watford FC players.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Yasser Larouci 90'
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Vakoun Issouf Bayo 62'
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Edo Kayembe 69'
- 21
- 5
- 8
- 6
- 24
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↓ Kwadwo Baah 62'
- 45
Bench
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 69'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 62'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 62'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 90'
- 36
- 22
- 11
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 25
- 1
- 9
- 30
- 7
-
18
Aidan Morris ↓ Marcus Forss 89'
- 20
- 3
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 64'
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↓ Riley McGree 65'
Bench
- 5
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 89'
- 15
- 4
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 77'
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 65'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 64'
- 31
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Yannick Bolasie | 1 |
| Isaiah Jones | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-10-05
Watford FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-10-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-09-28
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
Stoke City FC
W
2024-09-21
Sunderland AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-09-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Preston North End FC
D
2024-08-31
Cardiff City FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

