Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Sep | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #5 |
| 57 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 53 | Scored | 72 |
| 65 | Conceded | 47 |
| -12 | GD | +25 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 30% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' The 27-year-old Isaiah Jones has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 23' Middlesbrough FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 28' Angelo Ogbonna is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 43' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 48' Matthew Pollock has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 54' Against the run of play, George Edmundson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 59' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 62' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Kwadwo Baah on, Daniel Jebbison off on 62 minutes.
- 64' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 64 minute. Ben Doak leaves to be changed by Isaiah Jones.
- 65' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Micah Hamilton is replaced by Riley McGree.
- 69' The whistle greets Moussa Sissoko as he departs to be replaced by Edo Kayembe.
- 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 75' What an equalizer from Edo Kayembe!
- 77' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — Delano Burgzorg on, Emmanuel Latte Lath off on 77 minutes.
- 82' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 87' A stunning finish from Kwadwo Baah — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 89' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Aidan Morris is replaced by Marcus Forss on 89 minute.
- 89' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Another change for Watford FC made on 90 minute. Ken Sema leaves to be changed by Yasser Larouci.
- 90' Kwadwo Baah picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- It finishes all square. Watford FC and Middlesbrough FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Yasser Larouci 90'
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Vakoun Issouf Bayo 62'
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Edo Kayembe 69'
- 21
- 5
- 8
- 6
- 24
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↓ Kwadwo Baah 62'
- 45
Bench
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 69'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 62'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 62'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 90'
- 36
- 22
- 11
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 25
- 1
- 9
- 30
- 7
-
18
Aidan Morris ↓ Marcus Forss 89'
- 20
- 3
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 64'
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↓ Riley McGree 65'
Bench
- 5
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 89'
- 15
- 4
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 77'
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 65'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 64'
- 31
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 1 |
| David Strelec | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-10-05
Watford FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-10-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-09-28
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
Stoke City FC
W
2024-09-21
Sunderland AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-09-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Preston North End FC
D
2024-08-31
Cardiff City FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

