Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 20,002 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 54' George Edmundson
Edo Kayembe 75' 1–1
Kwadwo Baah 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
28 Sep Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Norwich City FC A 1–4 L
14 Sep Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
01 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Watford FC A 1–2 L
01 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
28 Sep Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
21 Sep Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Preston North End FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Cardiff City FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Middlesbrough FC
#16 Position #5
57 Points 80
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
53 Scored 72
65 Conceded 47
-12 GD +25
1.24 PPG 1.74
30% Win % 48%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The 27-year-old Isaiah Jones has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 23' Middlesbrough FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
  • 28' Angelo Ogbonna is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 43' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 48' Matthew Pollock has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 54' Against the run of play, George Edmundson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Watford FCKwadwo Baah on, Daniel Jebbison off on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 64 minute. Ben Doak leaves to be changed by Isaiah Jones.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Micah Hamilton is replaced by Riley McGree.
  • 69' The whistle greets Moussa Sissoko as he departs to be replaced by Edo Kayembe.
  • 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 75' What an equalizer from Edo Kayembe!
  • 77' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FCDelano Burgzorg on, Emmanuel Latte Lath off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Kwadwo Baah — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 89' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Aidan Morris is replaced by Marcus Forss on 89 minute.
  • 89' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Another change for Watford FC made on 90 minute. Ken Sema leaves to be changed by Yasser Larouci.
  • 90' Kwadwo Baah picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • It finishes all square. Watford FC and Middlesbrough FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC34% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC39%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC23% Draw46% Middlesbrough FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.