Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Sep | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 19 |
| -10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 27% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Watford FC gets underway.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Dele-Bashiru suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Hayden Hackney picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 28' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 33' Ben Doak has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 429 appearances.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Angelo Ogbonna, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 43' Ivory Coast international Emmanuel Latte Lath has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 48' Finn Azaz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 53' Middlesbrough FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 54' George Edmundson does the damage! The net is bulging and Middlesbrough FC surge ahead!
- 59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Kwadwo Baah. He replaces Daniel Jebbison on 62 minute.
- 64' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Ben Doak has done his job and it is now time for Isaiah Jones to step up.
- 65' Riley McGree gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Micah Hamilton and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Edo Kayembe is hanging Moussa Sissoko on the field on 69 minute.
- 74' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 75' The Congo DR Edo Kayembe breaks the deadlock on 75 minutes. 1-1!
- 77' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Emmanuel Latte Lath departs to be replaced by Delano Burgzorg.
- 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' Kwadwo Baah makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Watford FC are in front.
- 89' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Aidan Morris by Marcus Forss on 89 minute.
- 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Porteous on 89.
- 90' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ken Sema exits the field as Yasser Larouci enters on 90.
- 90' Kwadwo Baah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- Middlesbrough FC will have plenty to reflect on. Watford FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Yasser Larouci 90'
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Vakoun Issouf Bayo 62'
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Edo Kayembe 69'
- 21
- 5
- 8
- 6
- 24
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↓ Kwadwo Baah 62'
- 45
Bench
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 69'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 62'
- 10
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 62'
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↑ 90'
- 36
- 22
- 11
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 25
- 1
- 9
- 30
- 7
-
18
Aidan Morris ↓ Marcus Forss 89'
- 20
- 3
-
50
Ben Doak ↓ Isaiah Jones 64'
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↓ Riley McGree 65'
Bench
- 5
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 89'
- 15
- 4
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 77'
-
8
Riley McGree ↑ 65'
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 64'
- 31
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Craig Cathcart | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-10-05
Watford FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-10-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-09-28
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
Stoke City FC
W
2024-09-21
Sunderland AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2024-09-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Preston North End FC
D
2024-08-31
Cardiff City FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 74% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
70%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

