Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Watford FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Millwall FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 02 Jan | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Blackpool FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | Reading FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Dec | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #20 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 16 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Riverside Stadium!
- 5' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's shape.
- 10' Riley McGree has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 24 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Middlesbrough FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
- 25' Hassane Kamara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' Chuba Akpom is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 38' Craig Cathcart has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 38.
- 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Jonathan Howson. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Henrique Araujo on, Ismael Kone off on 46 minutes.
- 48' Goal! Marcus Forss scores his 38 goal in 346 matches.
- 53' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Henrique Araujo suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' Yaser Asprilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Ferreira on 64 minute.
- 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joao Ferreira, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 71' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Matheus Martins exits the field as Matthew Pollock enters on 71.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Duncan Watmore. He replaces Marcus Forss on 72 minute.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 84 minute. Cameron Archer leaves to be changed by Matty Crooks.
- 89' The 38-year-old Jonathan Howson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Chuba Akpom is replaced by Alex Mowatt.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Tobi Adeyemo on 90 minutes.
- Middlesbrough FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
21
Marcus Forss ↓ Duncan Watmore 72'
- 3
- 17
- 16
- 26
-
29
Chuba Akpom ↓ Alex Mowatt 90'
- 1
- 8
-
10
Cameron Archer ↓ Matty Crooks 84'
- 30
Bench
-
18
Duncan Watmore ↑ 72'
-
4
Alex Mowatt ↑ 90'
- 27
- 23
-
15
Anfernee Dijksteel ↑ 90'
-
25
Matty Crooks ↑ 84'
- 2
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 15
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Tobi Adeyemo 46'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 31
- 1
-
13
Joao Ferreira ↓ Yaser Asprilla 64'
- 37
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Henrique Araujo 46'
Bench
-
25
Leandro Bacuna ↑ 46'
-
32
Matthew Pollock ↑ 71'
- 35
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 64'
-
21
Henrique Araujo ↑ 46'
-
54
Tobi Adeyemo ↑ 46'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Alex Bangura | 1 |
| Yannick Bolasie | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2023-01-28
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
Watford FC
W
2023-01-22
Sunderland AFC
2–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-01-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Millwall FC
W
2023-01-07
Middlesbrough FC
1–5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
L
2023-01-02
Birmingham City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
2022-12-29
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
45%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

