Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Watford FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Millwall FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 02 Jan | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Blackpool FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | Reading FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Dec | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 80 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 72 | Scored | 53 |
| 47 | Conceded | 65 |
| +25 | GD | -12 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 48% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Middlesbrough FC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leandro Bacuna is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
- 10' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan John Giles suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' The 25-year-old Joao Ferreira has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 36' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chuba Akpom makes it 1-0.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Craig Cathcart on 38.
- 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Middlesbrough FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' Jonathan Howson is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 46' The whistle greets Ismael Kone as he departs to be replaced by Henrique Araujo.
- 48' Marcus Forss has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 53' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Tobi Adeyemo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 58' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 64' Joao Ferreira makes way for Yaser Asprilla at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 69' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' Watford FC make a change. Matheus Martins trudges off to be replaced by Matthew Pollock on 71 minutes.
- 72' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Duncan Watmore comes on to replace Marcus Forss.
- 77' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 84' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Cameron Archer is withdrawn and Matty Crooks gets his opportunity.
- 89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 90' Chuba Akpom makes way for Alex Mowatt at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Middlesbrough FC.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Tobi Adeyemo on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Middlesbrough FC 2-0 Watford FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
21
Marcus Forss ↓ Duncan Watmore 72'
- 3
- 17
- 16
- 26
-
29
Chuba Akpom ↓ Alex Mowatt 90'
- 1
- 8
-
10
Cameron Archer ↓ Matty Crooks 84'
- 30
Bench
-
18
Duncan Watmore ↑ 72'
-
4
Alex Mowatt ↑ 90'
- 27
- 23
-
15
Anfernee Dijksteel ↑ 90'
-
25
Matty Crooks ↑ 84'
- 2
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 15
-
7
Keinan Davis ↓ Tobi Adeyemo 46'
- 23
- 14
- 3
- 31
- 1
-
13
Joao Ferreira ↓ Yaser Asprilla 64'
- 37
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Henrique Araujo 46'
Bench
-
25
Leandro Bacuna ↑ 46'
-
32
Matthew Pollock ↑ 71'
- 35
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 64'
-
21
Henrique Araujo ↑ 46'
-
54
Tobi Adeyemo ↑ 46'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
| Marcus Forss | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2023-01-28
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
Watford FC
W
2023-01-22
Sunderland AFC
2–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-01-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Millwall FC
W
2023-01-07
Middlesbrough FC
1–5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
L
2023-01-02
Birmingham City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
2022-12-29
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Watford FC
45%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

