Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 21 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Carrow Road 26,438 HT 45' · FT 45'
Callum Doyle 3' 1–0
1–1 26' Ryan Andrews
Borja Sainz 45+3' 2–1
Marcelino Nunez 54' 3–1
Benjamin Chrisene 89' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Watford FC H 4–1 W
14 Sep Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Coventry City FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–2 D
10 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Norwich City FC A 1–4 L
14 Sep Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
01 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
24 Aug Derby County FC H 2–1 W
17 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
10 Aug Millwall FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Watford FC
#9 Position #16
65 Points 57
46 Played 46
19 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
63 Scored 53
56 Conceded 65
+7 GD -12
1.41 PPG 1.24
41% Win % 30%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.13 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC54% Draw23% Watford FC23%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
46%
Norwich City FC or Watford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC41% Draw40% Watford FC19%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.