Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sun 23 Oct 2022 · 11:00 UTC Vicarage Road Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
19 Oct Millwall FC A 0–3 L
15 Oct Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Oct Blackpool FC A 1–3 L
05 Oct Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
02 Oct Stoke City FC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Watford FC A 0–4 L
18 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
15 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
08 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
04 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–3 D
30 Sep Hull City AFC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Watford FC and Luton Town FC get this one started.
  • 3' Keinan Davis does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
  • 8' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 18' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Sonny Bradley gets a Yellow card.
  • 23' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact .
  • 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 29' Keinan Davis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' Nigeria international Gabriel Osho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' Goal! William Troost-Ekong scores his 5 goal in 456 matches.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for William Troost-Ekong.
  • 46' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Sonny Bradley is withdrawn and Gabriel Osho gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Luton Town FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Joao Pedro makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Watford FC are in front.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Harry Cornick comes on to replace Luke Freeman.
  • 59' Poor challenge from Allan Campbell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 64' Dan Gosling is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Luton Town FC tonight.
  • 67' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ken Sema.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Keinan Davis is replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 69 minute.
  • 74' Elijah Adebayo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Watford FCMario Gaspar on, Hamza Choudhury off on 75 minutes.
  • 77' Cameron Jerome gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Carlton Morris and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ismaila Sarr makes no mistake. 4-0!
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Gabriel Osho.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Yaser Asprilla. He replaces Joao Pedro on 84 minute.
  • 85' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ismaila Sarr exits the field as Samuel Kalu enters on 85.
  • 88' Allan Campbell makes way for Louie Watson at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • With this win, Watford FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC53% Draw27% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Luton Town FC
47%
Watford FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC38% Draw48% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.