Watford FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Luton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Blackpool FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Watford FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Sep | Hull City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
- 3' Against the run of play, Keinan Davis has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 8' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 13' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 18' A moment of madness from Sonny Bradley on 18 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
- 23' Harry Cornick has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' Keinan Davis is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
- 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hamza Choudhury suffering a number of foals already.
- 44' Daniel Bachmann, a Austria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' GOAL! William Troost-Ekong scores on 45.
- 45' Watford FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 46' Gabriel Osho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sonny Bradley on 46 minute.
- 51' Alfie Doughty has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 57' A stunning finish from Joao Pedro — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 57' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Luke Freeman by Harry Cornick on 57 minute.
- 59' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Allan Campbell gets a Yellow card.
- 64' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Ken Sema is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 67.
- 69' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Keinan Davis departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 74' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 75' The whistle greets Hamza Choudhury as he departs to be replaced by Mario Gaspar.
- 77' Cameron Jerome has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlton Morris on 77 minute.
- 79' A stunning finish from Ismaila Sarr — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 83' Luton Town FC player sees a Red card in front of him.
- 84' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Joao Pedro departs to be replaced by Yaser Asprilla.
- 85' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Ismaila Sarr is replaced by Samuel Kalu on 85 minute.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Louie Watson. He replaces Allan Campbell on 88 minute.
- The points are shared — Watford FC 4-0 Luton Town FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Hamza Choudhury ↓ Mario Gaspar 75'
- 12
- 15
- 16
- 7
-
23
Ismaila Sarr ↓ Samuel Kalu 85'
- 14
- 5
- 1
- 39
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 84'
Bench
-
28
Samuel Kalu ↑ 85'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 75'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 69'
- 32
- 35
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 84'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Luton Town FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
30
Luke Freeman ↓ Harry Cornick 57'
- 2
- 45
- 4
- 29
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Cameron Jerome 77'
- 18
- 11
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↓ Gabriel Osho 46'
-
22
Allan Campbell ↓ Louie Watson 88'
Bench
- 3
- 8
-
7
Harry Cornick ↑ 57'
-
32
Gabriel Osho ↑ 46'
-
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 77'
-
20
Louie Watson ↑ 88'
- 21
Coach
Nathan Jones
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Allan Campbell | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Tom Dele-Bashiru | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Luton Town FC
47%
Watford FC or Luton Town FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.