Saturday , 14 November 2026

Watford FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sun 23 Oct 2022 · 11:00 UTC Vicarage Road Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
19 Oct Millwall FC A 0–3 L
15 Oct Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Oct Blackpool FC A 1–3 L
05 Oct Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
02 Oct Stoke City FC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Watford FC A 0–4 L
18 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
15 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
08 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
04 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–3 D
30 Sep Hull City AFC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Watford FC launch into their encounter with Luton Town FC.
  • 3' Keinan Davis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 8' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cameron Jerome made 191 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sonny Bradley.
  • 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
  • 28' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Keinan Davis is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' A goal from the Nigeria international William Troost-Ekong! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-0!
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for William Troost-Ekong.
  • 46' The whistle greets Sonny Bradley as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Osho.
  • 51' That is a Yellow card for Luton Town FC. Alfie Doughty will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Craig Cathcart has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' GOAL! Joao Pedro fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 57' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 57 minute. Luke Freeman leaves to be changed by Harry Cornick.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Allan Campbell. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 64' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 67' The referee has no hesitation. Ken Sema is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 67.
  • 69' Watford FC ring the changes. Keinan Davis has done his job and it is now time for Vakoun Issouf Bayo to step up.
  • 74' Gabriel Osho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 75' Another change for Watford FC made on 75 minute. Hamza Choudhury leaves to be changed by Mario Gaspar.
  • 77' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Carlton Morris is withdrawn and Cameron Jerome gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Goal! Ismaila Sarr scores his 73 goal in 436 matches.
  • 83' Gabriel Osho was booked on 83.
  • 84' Joao Pedro makes way for Yaser Asprilla at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Samuel Kalu. He replaces Ismaila Sarr on 85 minute.
  • 88' The whistle greets Allan Campbell as he departs to be replaced by Louie Watson.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC53% Draw27% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Luton Town FC
47%
Watford FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC38% Draw48% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.