Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Oxford United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Luton Town FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Watford FC.
- 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 6' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
- 11' Goal! Jordan Clark scores his 34 goal in 231 matches.
- 16' It’s gonna be a card for Jordan Clark.
- 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mark McGuinness made 358 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
- 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Alfie Doughty.
- 37' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 46 minute. Tom Holmes leaves to be changed by Daiki Hashioka.
- 47' GOAL! Carlton Morris scores on 47. Assisted by Alfie Doughty
- 52' Ryan Porteous needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 53' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Jebbison is hanging Vakoun Issouf Bayo on the field on 53 minute.
- 58' Marvelous Nakamba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tahith Chong on 58 minute.
- 61' It’s gonna be a card for Daiki Hashioka.
- 65' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Festy Ebosele is hanging Ken Sema on the field on 65 minute.
- 66' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Krauss on 66 minute.
- 67' The whistle greets Carlton Morris as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Brown.
- 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kwadwo Baah suffering a number of foals already.
- 77' Festy Ebosele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 82' Tom Ince has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Dele-Bashiru on 82 minute.
- 83' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rocco Vata is hanging Ryan Andrews on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
- Full Time. Luton Town FC beats Watford FC
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
29
Tom Holmes ↓ Daiki Hashioka 46'
- 7
-
16
Reece Burke ↓ Joseph Johnson 53'
- 45
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Jacob Brown 67'
- 18
- 11
- 24
- 14
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 25
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 58'
- 10
-
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 67'
- 23
-
27
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 46'
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 66'
-
38
Joseph Johnson ↑ 53'
- 37
Coach
Rob Edwards
Watford FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Festy Ebosele 65'
- 17
- 21
- 1
- 5
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 53'
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Tom Ince 82'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Rocco Vata 83'
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
- 3
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 53'
- 37
-
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 65'
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 53'
- 22
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Gabriel Osho | 1 |
| Allan Campbell | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Tom Dele-Bashiru | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Luton Town FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

