Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Luton Town FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,758 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jordan Clark 11' 1–0

Carlton Morris 47' 2–0

Jacob Brown 90+2' 3–0

Y 6' Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Jordan Clark 16' Y

Alfie Doughty 35' Y

Y 37' Ryan Porteous

Daiki Hashioka 61' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stephen Martin (England)
Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Luton Town FC 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-19 Luton Town FC 3–0 Watford FC 2023-04-01 Luton Town FC 2–0 Watford FC 2022-10-23 Watford FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2021-04-17 Luton Town FC 1–0 Watford FC 2020-09-26 Watford FC 1–0 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Watford FC	H	3–0	W
05 Oct	Sheffield United FC	A	0–2	L
01 Oct	Oxford United FC	H	2–2	D
27 Sep	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	1–3	L
21 Sep	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
14 Sep	Millwall FC	A	1–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Luton Town FC	A	0–3	L
05 Oct	Middlesbrough FC	H	2–1	W
02 Oct	Preston North End FC	A	0–3	L
28 Sep	Sunderland AFC	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	Norwich City FC	A	1–4	L
14 Sep	Coventry City FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Luton Town FC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
6' The referee has no hesitation. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is booked for Watford FC — card on 6.
11' Goal! Jordan Clark scores his 35 goal in 231 matches.
16' That looks like a foul for a card for Jordan Clark.
21' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 3-5-2.
26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
31' Italy international Angelo Ogbonna has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' Alfie Doughty has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
37' A moment of madness from Ryan Porteous on 37 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
42' Watford FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
46' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Tom Holmes by Daiki Hashioka on 46 minute.
47' Carlton Morris makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Luton Town FC are in front.
52' Luton Town FC have won 486 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
53' Daniel Jebbison is replacing Vakoun Issouf Bayo for the Watford FC side.
58' Tahith Chong makes way for Marvelous Nakamba at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
61' That is a card for Luton Town FC. Daiki Hashioka will be fuming at that decision.
65' Festy Ebosele is replacing Ken Sema for the Watford FC side.
66' The whistle greets Tom Krauss as he departs to be replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu.
67' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Carlton Morris is replaced by Jacob Brown on 67 minute.
72' Festy Ebosele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
77' Luton Town FC currently sit 21 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
82' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Tom Dele-Bashiru is replaced by Tom Ince.
83' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Rocco Vata on, Ryan Andrews off on 83 minutes.
88' Tom Ince has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Luton Town FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

25
Joe Taylor
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 58'
10
Cauley Woodrow
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 67'
23
Tim Krul
27
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 46'
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 66'
38
Joseph Johnson ↑ 53'
37
Zack Nelson

Coach Rob Edwards

Watford FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

12
Ken Sema ↓ Festy Ebosele 65'
17
Moussa Sissoko
21
Angelo Ogbonna
1
Daniel Bachmann
5
Ryan Porteous
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 53'
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↓ Daniel Jebbison 53'
6
Matthew Pollock
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Tom Ince 82'
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Rocco Vata 83'

Bench

23
Jonathan Bond
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
3
Francisco Sierralta
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 53'
37
Yasser Larouci
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 65'
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 53'
22
James Morris
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'

Coach Tom Cleverley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Jacob Brown	1
Carlton Morris	1
Jordan Clark	1
Edo Kayembe	1
Tom Dele-Bashiru	1
James Collins	1
Keinan Davis	1

Head to Head

Luton Town FC Form

2024-10-19 Luton Town FC 3–0 Watford FC W 2024-10-05 Sheffield United FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2024-10-01 Luton Town FC 2–2 Oxford United FC D 2024-09-27 Plymouth Argyle FC 3–1 Luton Town FC L 2024-09-21 Luton Town FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2024-09-14 Millwall FC 0–1 Luton Town FC W

Watford FC Form

2024-10-19 Luton Town FC 3–0 Watford FC L 2024-10-05 Watford FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2024-10-02 Preston North End FC 3–0 Watford FC L 2024-09-28 Watford FC 2–1 Sunderland AFC W 2024-09-21 Norwich City FC 4–1 Watford FC L 2024-09-14 Watford FC 1–1 Coventry City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.8 Luton Town FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Luton Town FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Luton Town FC57% Draw25% Watford FC18%

Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Watford FC

43%

Luton Town FC or Watford FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC40% Draw45% Watford FC15%

Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

1 – 0

11.2%

2 – 0

10.6%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.3%

4 – 0

2.8%

0 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap	Luton Town FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	18%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	24%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.