Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Oxford United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Luton Town FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Watford FC has kicked off!
- 5' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Tom Holmes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 6' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jordan Clark makes it 1-0.
- 16' Jordan Clark was booked on 16.
- 21' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 3-5-2.
- 26' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Porteous on 37.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' The crowd applauds Tom Holmes as he leaves the pitch. Daiki Hashioka steps in for Luton Town FC.
- 47' What a strike from Carlton Morris! The score is 2-0.
- 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 53' The supporters are chanting for Daniel Jebbison. He replaces Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 53 minute.
- 58' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Tahith Chong is replaced by Marvelous Nakamba on 58 minute.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Daiki Hashioka. He receives a card.
- 65' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Ken Sema is replaced by Festy Ebosele on 65 minute.
- 66' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Krauss departs to be replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu.
- 67' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Carlton Morris is replaced by Jacob Brown on 67 minute.
- 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Reece Burke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 82' Tom Ince is replacing Tom Dele-Bashiru for the Watford FC side.
- 83' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Rocco Vata comes on to replace Ryan Andrews.
- 88' Ken Sema has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 358 appearances.
- With this win, Luton Town FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
29
Tom Holmes ↓ Daiki Hashioka 46'
- 7
-
16
Reece Burke ↓ Joseph Johnson 53'
- 45
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Jacob Brown 67'
- 18
- 11
- 24
- 14
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 25
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 58'
- 10
-
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 67'
- 23
-
27
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 46'
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 66'
-
38
Joseph Johnson ↑ 53'
- 37
Coach
Rob Edwards
Watford FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Festy Ebosele 65'
- 17
- 21
- 1
- 5
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 53'
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Tom Ince 82'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Rocco Vata 83'
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
- 3
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 53'
- 37
-
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 65'
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 53'
- 22
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Gabriel Osho | 1 |
| Allan Campbell | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Tom Dele-Bashiru | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Luton Town FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

