Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,758 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jordan Clark 11' 1–0
Carlton Morris 47' 2–0
Jacob Brown 90+2' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Watford FC H 3–0 W
05 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
01 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Millwall FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Luton Town FC A 0–3 L
05 Oct Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
28 Sep Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Norwich City FC A 1–4 L
14 Sep Coventry City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Watford FC.
  • 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 6' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
  • 11' Goal! Jordan Clark scores his 34 goal in 231 matches.
  • 16' It’s gonna be a card for Jordan Clark.
  • 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mark McGuinness made 358 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Alfie Doughty.
  • 37' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 46 minute. Tom Holmes leaves to be changed by Daiki Hashioka.
  • 47' GOAL! Carlton Morris scores on 47. Assisted by Alfie Doughty
  • 52' Ryan Porteous needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 53' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Jebbison is hanging Vakoun Issouf Bayo on the field on 53 minute.
  • 58' Marvelous Nakamba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tahith Chong on 58 minute.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Daiki Hashioka.
  • 65' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Festy Ebosele is hanging Ken Sema on the field on 65 minute.
  • 66' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Krauss on 66 minute.
  • 67' The whistle greets Carlton Morris as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Brown.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kwadwo Baah suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' Festy Ebosele has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 82' Tom Ince has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Dele-Bashiru on 82 minute.
  • 83' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rocco Vata is hanging Ryan Andrews on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • Full Time. Luton Town FC beats Watford FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC57% Draw25% Watford FC18%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC40% Draw45% Watford FC15%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.