Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Watford FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
15 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
11 Mar Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Millwall FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Luton Town FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
14 Mar Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
11 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
04 Mar Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kenilworth Road!
  • 5' The 28-year-old Keinan Davis has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rob Edwards will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' Goal! Gabriel Osho scores his 8 goal in 12 matches.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' Britt Assombalonga, a DR Congo , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Pedro is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joao Pedro, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 65' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Jeremy Ngakia is withdrawn and Joao Ferreira gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Watford FC make a change. Keinan Davis trudges off to be replaced by Britt Assombalonga on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' Another change for Watford FC made on 77 minute. Ismael Kone leaves to be changed by Yaser Asprilla.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Hamza Choudhury. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Carlton Morris is withdrawn and Cauley Woodrow gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Luton Town FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Luton Town FC and Watford FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC50% Draw29% Watford FC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
50%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw53% Watford FC16%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.