Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Watford FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Luton Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Luton Town FC is hosting Watford FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 28' A stunning finish from Gabriel Osho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 33' Luton Town FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's shape.
- 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' Poor challenge from Joao Pedro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 50' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 60' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Amari'i Bell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' Joao Ferreira gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Keinan Davis by Britt Assombalonga on 69 minute.
- 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 77' Watford FC ring the changes. Ismael Kone has done his job and it is now time for Yaser Asprilla to step up.
- 78' Hamza Choudhury was booked on 78.
- 83' The 30-year-old Carlton Morris has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joao Pedro made 389 appearances and scored 63 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Carlton Morris by Cauley Woodrow on 90 minute.
- 90' Allan Campbell picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- It finishes all square. Luton Town FC and Watford FC share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 13
- 45
- 4
- 29
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Cauley Woodrow 90'
- 11
- 17
- 32
- 22
- 2
Bench
- 25
-
10
Cauley Woodrow ↑ 90'
- 12
- 16
- 1
- 8
- 5
Coach
Rob Edwards
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 12
- 15
-
44
Wesley Hoedt ↓ Ismaila Sarr 65'
- 7
- 1
- 22
- 6
- 10
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Joao Ferreira 65'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Yaser Asprilla 77'
Bench
- 25
- 27
- 26
-
34
Britt Assombalonga ↑ 69'
-
23
Ismaila Sarr ↑ 65'
-
13
Joao Ferreira ↑ 65'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 77'
Coach
Chris Wilder
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Gabriel Osho | 1 |
| Allan Campbell | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Tom Dele-Bashiru | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
50%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.