Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 7 Jan 2023 · 15:15 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica HT 45' · FT 45'
Pau Torres 16' Y
Albiol 75' Y
Albiol 76' Y
Pepe Reina 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Ignacio Iglesias
  • Referee Iker De Francisco
  • Referee David Medie
  • Referee Cesar Soto
  • Referee Carlos Alvarez
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
31 Dec Valencia CF H 2–1 W
09 Nov RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 1–0 W
06 Nov RCD Mallorca H 0–2 L
30 Oct Athletic Club A 0–1 L
23 Oct UD Almeria H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Villarreal CF A 1–2 L
30 Dec Real Valladolid CF A 2–0 W
10 Nov Cadiz CF H 2–1 W
07 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 2–3 L
02 Nov Celtic FC H 5–1 W
30 Oct Girona FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#3 Position #2
72 Points 86
38 Played 38
22 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
72 Scored 77
46 Conceded 35
+26 GD +42
1.89 PPG 2.26
58% Win % 71%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio de la Ceramica will turn into a battlefield for Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' Federico Valverde needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 16' Pau Torres picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' Eduardo Camavinga, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The 31-year-old Ferland Mendy has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 47' Yeremi Pino does the damage! The net is bulging and Villarreal CF surge ahead!
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Villarreal CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 59' Karim Benzema is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 60' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Karim Benzema on 60.
  • 63' What composure from Gerard Moreno! The Spain international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 64' Lucas Vazquez is replacing Aurelien Tchouameni for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 65' Lucas Vazquez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aurelien Tchouameni on 65 minute.
  • 70' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eduardo Camavinga is hanging Luka Modric on the field on 70 minute.
  • 71' Eduardo Camavinga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luka Modric at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' Alfonso Pedraza is replacing Alberto Moreno for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Albiol on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Albiol was booked on 76.
  • 81' Jose Luis Morales is replacing Yeremi Pino for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 82' Marco Asensio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Federico Valverde at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' Real Madrid CF make a change. Federico Valverde trudges off to be replaced by Marco Asensio on 83 minutes.
  • 88' The whistle greets Gerard Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Arnaut Danjuma.
  • 89' Trigueros is replacing Francis Coquelin for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 90' Alejandro Baena has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF40% Draw26% Real Madrid CF34%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
66%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
60%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF26% Draw45% Real Madrid CF29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
23%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.