Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Benjamin Cortus
  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
11 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
04 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
25 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L
18 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–0 W
11 Feb SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
12 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
05 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
25 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–0 W
18 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
10 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg get this one started.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Atakan Karazor on 9.
  • 14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josha Vagnoman made 270 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 34' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Omar Marmoush adds to his 0 season tally! VfL Wolfsburg lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 58' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ridle Baku is hanging Patrick Wimmer on the field on 58 minute.
  • 61' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Atakan Karazor is replaced by Enzo Millot.
  • 62' Tanguy Coulibaly is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gil Dias at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Waldemar Anton trudges off to be replaced by Josha Vagnoman on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kilian Fischer, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 75' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Felix Kalu Nmecha is replaced by Josuha Guilavogui on 75 minute.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Felix Kalu Nmecha as he leaves the pitch. Josuha Guilavogui steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 81' Jonas Wind is ready to make an impact after coming on for Omar Marmoush at the 81 minute mark.
  • 82' Jonas Wind is replacing Omar Marmoush for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 87' VfB Stuttgart currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 88' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Genki Haraguchi is replaced by Luca Pfeiffer on 88 minute.
  • 89' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Genki Haraguchi is replaced by Luca Pfeiffer.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfB Stuttgart 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or VfL Wolfsburg 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart31% Draw31% VfL Wolfsburg38%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
62%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
69%
VfB Stuttgart or VfL Wolfsburg
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart22% Draw52% VfL Wolfsburg26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.