Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Benjamin Cortus
  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
11 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
04 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
25 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 1–2 L
18 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–0 W
11 Feb SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
12 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
05 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
25 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–0 W
18 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
10 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 0–0 D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart VfL Wolfsburg
#10 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Atakan Karazor on 9.
  • 14' Josha Vagnoman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 19' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 39' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Omar Marmoush — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 58' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Patrick Wimmer has done his job and it is now time for Ridle Baku to step up.
  • 61' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 61 minute. Atakan Karazor leaves to be changed by Enzo Millot.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Tanguy Coulibaly. He replaces Gil Dias on 62 minute.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Waldemar Anton as he leaves the pitch. Josha Vagnoman steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 68' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 75' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Felix Kalu Nmecha trudges off to be replaced by Josuha Guilavogui on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Josuha Guilavogui comes on to replace Felix Kalu Nmecha.
  • 81' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 81 minute. Omar Marmoush leaves to be changed by Jonas Wind.
  • 82' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Omar Marmoush departs to be replaced by Jonas Wind.
  • 87' Borna Sosa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
  • 88' The whistle greets Genki Haraguchi as he departs to be replaced by Luca Pfeiffer.
  • 89' Luca Pfeiffer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Genki Haraguchi at the 89 minute mark.
  • Full Time. VfL Wolfsburg beats VfB Stuttgart

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.41 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart21% Draw42% VfL Wolfsburg37%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 63%
37%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
64%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
79%
VfB Stuttgart or VfL Wolfsburg
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart10% Draw71% VfL Wolfsburg19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
37%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12%
1 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
2.4%
2 – 1
2%
0 – 3
1.5%
2 – 2
0.9%
1 – 3
0.8%
3 – 0
0.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 14% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 25% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
52%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
67%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.