VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

VfL Wolfsburg

3 – 2

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Patrick Wimmer 42' Y

Y 47' Sehrou Guirassy

Y 48' Waldemar Anton

Y 49' Waldemar Anton

Ridle Baku 53' Y

Y 70' Hiroki Ito

Maximilian Arnold 71' Y

Y 79' Atakan Karazor

Y 84' Enzo Millot

Y 89' Pellegrino Matarazzo

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Markus Hacker
Referee Marco Achmuller
Referee Felix Zwayer
Referee Tobias Welz
Referee Florian Heft
Referee Christian Leicher

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 22 games · Avg 2.9 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 VfB Stuttgart 2022-04-30 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2021-12-11 VfL Wolfsburg 0–2 VfB Stuttgart 2021-04-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2020-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	H	3–2	W
18 Sep	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–2	L
10 Sep	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–0	W
03 Sep	1. FC Köln	H	2–4	L
27 Aug	RB Leipzig	A	0–2	L
20 Aug	FC Schalke 04	H	0–0	D

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–3	L
17 Sep	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–3	L
10 Sep	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
03 Sep	FC Schalke 04	H	1–1	D
28 Aug	1. FC Köln	A	0–0	D
20 Aug	SC Freiburg	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Ermedin Demirovic	5 G
Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Maximilian Mittelstadt	2 G	1 A
Bilal El Khannouss	2 G
Grischa Promel	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfL Wolfsburg and VfB Stuttgart get this one started.
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
15' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' Maxence Lacroix has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 32 cards already picked up this season.
22' Sehrou Guirassy adds to his 13 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
23' Against the run of play, Omar Marmoush has scored! This game has turned on its head.
28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
38' Sensational shot from Maximilian Arnold. VfL Wolfsburg is back in the lead.
42' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 42.
46' Konstantinos Mavropanos does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
47' The referee has no hesitation. Sehrou Guirassy is booked for VfB Stuttgart — Yellow card on 47.
48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Waldemar Anton.
49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Waldemar Anton.
53' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ridle Baku.
58' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
63' Lilian Egloff, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
68' The supporters are chanting for Enzo Millot. He replaces Wataru Endo on 68 minute.
70' VfB Stuttgart player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
71' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Maximilian Arnold.
76' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Paredes. He replaces Jakub Kaminski on 76 minute.
77' Pascal Stenzel makes way for Dan-Axel Zagadou at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
79' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a Yellow card on 79.
84' Poor challenge from Enzo Millot. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
85' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Maxence Lacroix is withdrawn and Sebastiaan Bornauw gets his opportunity.
86' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Lilian Egloff comes on to replace Naouirou Ahamada.
89' VfB Stuttgart receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 89.
90' The whistle greets Omar Marmoush as he departs to be replaced by Bartol Franjic.
Full Time. VfL Wolfsburg beats VfB Stuttgart

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

4
Maxence Lacroix ↓ Sebastiaan Bornauw 85'
1
Koen Casteels
27
Maximilian Arnold
31
Yannick Gerhardt
20
Ridle Baku
6
Paulo Otavio
32
Mattias Svanberg
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Kevin Paredes 76'
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Felix Kalu Nmecha 85'
33
Omar Marmoush ↓ Bartol Franjic 90'
5
Mickey van de Ven

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
5
Konstantinos Mavropanos
1
Florian Muller
2
Waldemar Anton
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Dan-Axel Zagadou 77'
22
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Luca Pfeiffer 77'
9
Sehrou Guirassy ↓ Tiago Tomas 77'
3
Wataru Endo ↓ Enzo Millot 68'
21
Hiroki Ito
32
Naouirou Ahamada ↓ Lilian Egloff 86'
14
Silas Wamangituka Fundu

Bench

23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 77'
28
Nikolas Nartey
33
Fabian Bredlow
20
Luca Pfeiffer ↑ 77'
7
Tanguy Coulibaly
25
Lilian Egloff ↑ 86'
10
Tiago Tomas ↑ 77'
8
Enzo Millot ↑ 68'
11
Juan Perea

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	6
Yannick Gerhardt	3
Konstantinos Mavropanos	2
Mohammed Amoura	2
Wout Weghorst	2
Gonzalo Castro	2
Omar Marmoush	2
Josip Brekalo	1

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2022-10-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2022-09-18 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2022-09-10 Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2022-09-03 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 1. FC Köln L 2022-08-27 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2022-08-20 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 FC Schalke 04 D

VfB Stuttgart Form

2022-10-01 VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2022-09-17 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2022-09-10 FC Bayern München 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2022-09-03 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 FC Schalke 04 D 2022-08-28 1. FC Köln 0–0 VfB Stuttgart D 2022-08-20 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 SC Freiburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.61 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg47% Draw25% VfB Stuttgart28%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

72%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

53%

VfL Wolfsburg or VfB Stuttgart

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg31% Draw45% VfB Stuttgart24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

12.2%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

7.3%

0 – 0

6.9%

2 – 0

6.6%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.7%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	20%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.