Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Thu 23 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC MHPArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs SC FreiburgDFB-Pokal at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
19 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–4 L
12 Apr Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
16 Apr RC Celta de Vigo A 3–1 W
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! VfB Stuttgart welcome SC Freiburg for this crunch clash at MHPArena.
  • 5' Lukas Kubler, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 13' SC Freiburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 15' A moment of madness from Nikolas Nartey on 15 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
  • 17' Johan Manzambi was booked on 17.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' A goal from the Germany international Maximilian Eggestein! He fires home on 28 to make it 0-1!
  • 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 38' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 43' Nikolas Nartey has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' VfB Stuttgart currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 56.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Freiburg that had 493 games and scored 469 goals.
  • 63' The whistle greets Nikolas Nartey as he departs to be replaced by Bilal El Khannouss.
  • 68' Lucas Holer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
  • 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Deniz Undav makes it 1-1.
  • 71' Vincenzo Grifo makes way for Derry Scherhant at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Igor Matanovic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Croatia international Igor Matanovic has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 84' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Igor Matanovic departs to be replaced by Lucas Holer.
  • 89' SC Freiburg have won 469 goals from 493 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart45% Draw27% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
55%
VfB Stuttgart or SC Freiburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart31% Draw46% SC Freiburg23%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
30%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.