Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 5
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sun 19 Apr 2026 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium 27,661 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Masaaki Higashiguchi og
Takeru Kishimoto 26' 1–1
Issam Jebali 65' 2–1
2–2 72' Ataru Esaka
Y 42' Noah Browne
Genta Miura 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FCJ. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuzo Sutani
  • Assistant 1 Koji Morikawa
  • Assistant 2 Tatsuya Fujisawa
11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 6–5 W
11 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–1 L
04 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 15–16 L
18 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
14 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Gamba Osaka A 5–6 L
11 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Vissel Kobe H 1–4 L
21 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 0–1 L
18 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Fagiano Okayama FC
#5 Position #6
28 Points 26
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
61 Scored 41
53 Conceded 46
+8 GD -5
1.56 PPG 1.44
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.81 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.85 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 95% + Both teams to score 91%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka54% Draw18% Fagiano Okayama FC28%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes91% 0% No9%
Avg goals/match: 6.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 95%
5%
± 3.5 88%
12%
± 4.5 77%
23%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
72%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
46%
Gamba Osaka or Fagiano Okayama FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka45% Draw28% Fagiano Okayama FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
3 – 2
4.9%
4 – 2
4.6%
3 – 3
4.6%
4 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
5 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
5 – 3
3.3%
3 – 4
3.2%
4 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 15% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 16% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 12% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 8% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.