V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| -8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank that hosts another battle between V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thiago Santana, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' V-Varen Nagasaki has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 19' GOAL! Yuto Iwasaki scores on 19. Assisted by Go Hatano
- 24' Masahiro Sekiguchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 29' Kosei Ogura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 56 appearances.
- 34' V-Varen Nagasaki is showing some good football. However, V-Varen Nagasaki are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' Noah Browne is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
- 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' Thiago Santana doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
- 50' GOAL! Werik scores on 50.
- 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosuke Shirai suffering a number of foals already.
- 80' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 90' V-Varen Nagasaki receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 9
- 21
- 13
- 8
- 17
- 48
- 24
- 41
- 3
Bench
- 23
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 25
- 1
- 11
- 34
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 18
- 51
- 22
- 48
- 8
- 28
- 6
- 98
- 5
- 45
Bench
- 7
- 66
- 88
- 26
- 27
- 99
- 4
- 9
- 52
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 1 |
| Werik | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2026-05-03
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

