Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Urawa Red Diamonds

Sat 6 Mar 2021 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+5'

Keiya Sento 12' Y

Daiki Matsuoka 23' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Jumpei Iida
Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Referee Taku Nakano
Referee Yuki Noda
Referee Ryosuke Murai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.5 goals Urawa Red Diamonds

Last 5 meetings

2021-03-06 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds 2020-10-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds 2020-09-09 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Urawa Red Diamonds 2019-06-15 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
27 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
19 Dec	Oita FC Trinita	H	2–2	D
16 Dec	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
12 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
05 Dec	Yokohama FC	A	1–1	D

Urawa Red Diamonds

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–2	L
27 Feb	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
19 Dec	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L
16 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–3	L
12 Dec	Shonan Bellmare	H	0–0	D
29 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

4/–

61-75

3/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Urawa Red Diamonds for another epic battle.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
10' Takuya Iwanami, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
12' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 12.
17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Takahiro Akimoto, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
23' Daiki Matsuoka is having his name booked by the referee on 23.
28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Urawa Red Diamonds needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
43' Urawa Red Diamonds have won 403 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' The Urawa Red Diamonds bench stirs into life. Tatsuya Tanaka is withdrawn and Takahiro Akimoto gets his opportunity.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
60' Fuchi Honda gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu and will look to change the dynamic.
62' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Keita Yamashita makes no mistake. 1-0!
67' Urawa Red Diamonds are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
74' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Daichi Hayashi is replaced by Kaisei Ishii on 74 minute.
77' The Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes a substitution. Koya Yuruki departs to be replaced by Yuki Muto.
78' Another substitution for Urawa Red Diamonds to replace Yoshio Koizumi by Hidetoshi Takeda on 78 minute.
79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Shinya Nakano leaves to be changed by Toshio Shimakawa.
80' Keiya Sento makes way for Masaya Tashiro at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
81' Keita Yamashita adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
86' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Urawa Red Diamonds backline.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sagan Tosu FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

19
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 74'
1
Tatsuya Morita
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 79'
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 60'
31
Ayumu Ohata
15
Noriyoshi Sakai
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 80'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups

Starting XI

5
Tomoaki Makino
14
Kenyu Sugimoto
6
Ryosuke Yamanaka
3
Tomoya Ugajin
1
Shusaku Nishikawa
4
Takuya Iwanami
22
Yuki Abe C
11
Tatsuya Tanaka ↓ Takahiro Akimoto 46'
24
Koya Yuruki ↓ Yuki Muto 77'
18
Yoshio Koizumi ↓ Hidetoshi Takeda 78'
17
Atsuki Ito

Bench

Coach Ricardo Rodríguez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Yamashita	3
Yuki Muto	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Shinzo Koroki	2
Yusuke Matsuo	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Takahiro Akimoto	1
Jose Kante	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-03-06 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-12-19 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Oita FC Trinita D 2020-12-16 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-12-12 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2020-12-05 Yokohama FC 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Urawa Red Diamonds Form

2021-03-06 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2021-02-27 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2020-12-19 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2020-12-16 Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2020-12-12 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Shonan Bellmare D 2020-11-29 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Urawa Red Diamonds xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC54% Draw25% Urawa Red Diamonds21%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds

46%

Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw46% Urawa Red Diamonds18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

5.8%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Urawa Red Diamonds covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.