Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 11:30 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs US Sassuolo CalcioSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Banti
  • Referee Antonio Giua
  • Referee Federico Dionisi
  • Referee Luigi Rossi
  • Referee
  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–5 L
24 Jan SS Lazio A 0–4 L
14 Jan US Lecce A 2–2 D
08 Jan AS Roma H 2–2 D
04 Jan US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
13 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan AC Milan A 5–2 W
22 Jan AC Monza A 1–1 D
15 Jan SS Lazio H 0–2 L
07 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
04 Jan UC Sampdoria H 1–2 L
12 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 0–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan US Sassuolo Calcio
#5 Position #11
70 Points 49
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 14 / 7 / 17
53 Scored 46
35 Conceded 50
+18 GD -4
1.84 PPG 1.29
53% Win % 37%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Sassuolo Calcio are 11th (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 US Sassuolo Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or US Sassuolo Calcio 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw26% US Sassuolo Calcio35%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
65%
Draw or US Sassuolo Calcio
61%
AC Milan or US Sassuolo Calcio
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan30% Draw41% US Sassuolo Calcio29%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–5 not predicted
2 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push US Sassuolo Calcio covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
19%
US Sassuolo Calcio keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.