Wednesday , 30 September 2026

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Mon 20 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 26,366 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Jack Harrison
Tiago Gabriel 71' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Assistant 1 Valerio Colarossi
  • Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 1–1 D
12 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
06 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–3 L
22 Mar AS Roma A 0–1 L
14 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
08 Mar US Cremonese H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr US Lecce A 1–1 D
13 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
04 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
16 Mar US Cremonese A 4–1 W
08 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

US Lecce ACF Fiorentina
#12 Position #17
6 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
5 Scored 6
10 Conceded 12
-5 GD -6
1.20 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

US Lecce are 12th (6 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 1 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G
Olaf Gorter 1 G
ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 11' Luis Balbo Vieira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robin Gosens on 11 minute.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 461 games and scored 426 goals.
  • 26' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Marin Pongracic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' What composure from Jack Harrison! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 35' Lassana Coulibaly is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for US Lecce so far.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Santiago Pierotti, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Via del Mare with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 56' Lameck Banda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Konan N'Dri on 56 minute.
  • 57' Oumar Ngom makes way for Omri Gandelman at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
  • 60' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Manor Solomon is hanging Albert Gudmundsson on the field on 60 minute.
  • 62' Santiago Pierotti was booked on 62.
  • 67' It is a cagey affair so far. US Lecce in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 4-3-3.
  • 71' What a moment for Tiago Gabriel! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' The referee has no hesitation. Tiago Gabriel is booked for US Lecce — card on 72.
  • 76' The referee has no hesitation. David De Gea is booked for ACF Fiorentina — card on 76.
  • 80' Marin Pongracic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 80' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 80 minute. Cher Ndour leaves to be changed by Marco Brescianini.
  • 82' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a card on 82.
  • 85' The whistle greets Antonino Gallo as he departs to be replaced by Corrie Ndaba.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Manor Solomon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.4 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce32% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
59%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
68%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce24% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina33%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.