US Cremonese vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

US Cremonese

1 – 4

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Mon 16 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Cremonese vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

US Cremonese 38 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marco Di Bello

4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

US Cremonese 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-16 US Cremonese 1–4 ACF Fiorentina 2026-01-04 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Cremonese 2023-03-12 US Cremonese 0–2 ACF Fiorentina 2022-08-14 ACF Fiorentina 3–2 US Cremonese

Recent Form

US Cremonese

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–4	L
08 Mar	US Lecce	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	AC Milan	H	0–2	L
22 Feb	AS Roma	A	0–3	L
15 Feb	Genoa CFC	H	0–0	D
09 Feb	Atalanta BC	A	1–2	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	US Cremonese	A	4–1	W
08 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	0–0	D
02 Mar	Udinese Calcio	A	0–3	L
23 Feb	AC Pisa 1909	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	Como 1907	A	2–1	W
07 Feb	Torino FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

US Cremonese		ACF Fiorentina
#18	Position	#15
34	Points	42
38	Played	38
8 / 10 / 20	W / D / L	9 / 15 / 14
32	Scored	41
57	Conceded	50
-25	GD	-9
0.89	PPG	1.11
21%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Cremonese are 18th (34 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between US Cremonese and ACF Fiorentina.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for ACF Fiorentina players.

Lineups

US Cremonese Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rolando Mandragora	3
Luka Jovic	1
Giacomo Bonaventura	1
Matteo Bianchetti	1
Cristian Buonaiuto	1
David Okereke	1
Arthur Cabral	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.01 US Cremonese xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.88 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

US Cremonese21% Draw25% ACF Fiorentina54%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

US Cremonese or Draw

46%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

79%

US Cremonese or ACF Fiorentina

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

US Cremonese16% Draw44% ACF Fiorentina40%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

0 – 1

9.7%

0 – 2

9.7%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 0

7.3%

1 – 3

0 – 3

5.9%

2 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.1%

1 – 4

Actual

Asian Handicap — US Cremonese

Handicap	US Cremonese covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	23%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	17%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

US Cremonese keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.