Wednesday , 30 September 2026

US Cremonese vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Mon 16 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Cremonese vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar ACF Fiorentina H 1–4 L
08 Mar US Lecce A 1–2 L
01 Mar AC Milan H 0–2 L
22 Feb AS Roma A 0–3 L
15 Feb Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
09 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar US Cremonese A 4–1 W
08 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
02 Mar Udinese Calcio A 0–3 L
23 Feb AC Pisa 1909 H 1–0 W
14 Feb Como 1907 A 2–1 W
07 Feb Torino FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • US Cremonese will have plenty to reflect on. ACF Fiorentina were simply the better side today.

Lineups

US Cremonese Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 US Cremonese xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Cremonese24% Draw26% ACF Fiorentina50%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

US Cremonese or Draw
50%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
76%
US Cremonese or ACF Fiorentina
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Cremonese19% Draw44% ACF Fiorentina37%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — US Cremonese

Handicap US Cremonese covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

US Cremonese keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.