AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
- Referee Alberto Santoro
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Referee Marco Serra
- Referee Valerio Colarossi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | US Lecce | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | Genoa CFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Hellas Verona FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 70 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 53 | Scored | 28 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza as AC Milan face off against US Lecce in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' Diego Farias has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hakan Calhanoglu makes it 1-0.
- 25' US Lecce fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' It’s high time Fabio Liverani made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. US Lecce seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Zan Majer argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 46' US Lecce ring the changes. Filippo Falco has done his job and it is now time for Diego Farias to step up.
- 51' Theo Hernandez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 56' Panagiotis Tachtsidis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 372 appearances.
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and US Lecce are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Khouma Babacar makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 64' Jacopo Petriccione has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zan Majer on 64 minute.
- 67' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Krzysztof Piatek comes on to replace Rafael Leao.
- 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and US Lecce are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 76' A moment of madness from Luca Rossettini on 76 minutes earns him a Yellow card. US Lecce will be frustrated.
- 80' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Franck Kessie departs to be replaced by Ante Rebic.
- 81' Krzysztof Piatek is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 82' Gianluca Lapadula gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Khouma Babacar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Biglia on 85.
- 90' Jacopo Petriccione is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↓ Rade Krunic 67'
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Krzysztof Piatek 67'
- 19
- 99
- 13
- 12
- 22
-
79
Franck Kessie ↓ Ante Rebic 80'
- 8
- 10
- 20
Bench
- 43
-
18
Ante Rebic ↑ 80'
- 90
- 68
- 11
- 25
-
9
Krzysztof Piatek ↑ 67'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 67'
- 4
- 94
- 46
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 77
- 30
- 13
-
37
Zan Majer ↓ Jacopo Petriccione 64'
- 5
- 16
- 27
- 8
- 23
-
10
Filippo Falco ↓ Diego Farias 46'
Bench
-
17
Diego Farias ↑ 46'
- 39
-
9
Gianluca Lapadula ↑ 82'
- 32
- 29
- 11
- 6
- 22
- 2
-
4
Jacopo Petriccione ↑ 64'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Fabio Liverani
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Khouma Babacar | 1 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or US Lecce
54%
AC Milan or US Lecce
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

