Sunday , 16 August 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 29 Aug 2024 · 19:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 31,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alberto Moleiro 5' 1–0
1–1 69' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
25 Aug CD Leganes A 1–2 L
16 Aug Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
26 May Deportivo Alavés H 1–1 D
19 May Cadiz CF A 0–0 D
16 May Real Betis Balompié H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–1 D
25 Aug Real Valladolid CF H 3–0 W
18 Aug RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Jun Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W
25 May Real Betis Balompié H 0–0 D
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — UD Las Palmas and Real Madrid CF get this one started.
  • 5' What a moment for Alberto Moleiro! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 10' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both UD Las Palmas and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dani Carvajal suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Las Palmas that had 118 games and scored 92 goals.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' UD Las Palmas are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ferland Mendy on 40 minutes.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Ferland Mendy is withdrawn and Fran Garcia gets his opportunity.
  • 51' UD Las Palmas currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' UD Las Palmas is showing some good football. However, UD Las Palmas are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' Another substitution for UD Las Palmas to replace Alberto Moleiro by Benito Ramirez on 61 minute.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Luka Modric as he leaves the pitch. Arda Guler steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Javi Munoz is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 69' A stunning finish from Vinicius Junior — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 75' Luis Carrion was booked on 75.
  • 76' The whistle greets Lucas Vazquez as he departs to be replaced by Dani Carvajal.
  • 78' UD Las Palmas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Viti is hanging Oliver McBurnie on the field on 78 minute.
  • 81' Manuel Fuster is replacing Kirian Rodriguez for the UD Las Palmas side.
  • 86' Real Madrid CF make a change. Vinicius Junior trudges off to be replaced by Endrick on 86 minutes.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eder Militao.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas33% Draw30% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas24% Draw48% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: UD Las Palmas win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
26%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.