Sunday , 15 November 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 29 Aug 2024 · 19:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 31,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alberto Moleiro 5' 1–0
1–1 69' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
25 Aug CD Leganes A 1–2 L
16 Aug Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
26 May Deportivo Alavés H 1–1 D
19 May Cadiz CF A 0–0 D
16 May Real Betis Balompie H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–1 D
25 Aug Real Valladolid CF H 3–0 W
18 Aug RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Jun Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W
25 May Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. UD Las Palmas kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Alberto Moleiro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. UD Las Palmas in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' Endrick has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. UD Las Palmas must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Spain international Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jasper Cillessen, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Gran Canaria with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Ferland Mendy is withdrawn and Fran Garcia gets his opportunity.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Las Palmas needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' Benito Ramirez is replacing Alberto Moleiro for the UD Las Palmas side.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Arda Guler comes on to replace Luka Modric.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fran Garcia made 558 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Vinicius Junior gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 75' The referee calls foul for Luis Carrion. He receives a card.
  • 76' Dani Carvajal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Vazquez on 76 minute.
  • 78' It is a substitution in UD Las Palmas team. Oliver McBurnie is replaced by Viti on 78 minute.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Kirian Rodriguez as he leaves the pitch. Manuel Fuster steps in for UD Las Palmas.
  • 86' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Vinicius Junior exits the field as Endrick enters on 86.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Eder Militao.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — UD Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas33% Draw30% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas24% Draw48% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: UD Las Palmas win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.