Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs Stade Brestois 29, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Toulouse FC
2 – 4
Full Time
Stade Brestois 29
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 13:00 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 24,418 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Justin Bourgault
0–2 26' Mathias Pereira Lage
0–3 62' Kamory Doumbia
Vincent Sierro 65' 1–3
Joshua King 78' 2–3
2–4 90' Mahdi Camara
Y 24' Kenny Lala
Y 28' Pierre Lees Melou
Y 68' Mathias Pereira Lage
Y 86' Marco Bizot
Y 87' Luc Zogbe

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Stade Brestois 29 — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 16.4 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 23
2 Lille OSC 10 21
3 Paris FC 10 20
4 Olympique de Marseille 10 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10 17
6 OGC Nice 10 17
7 AS Monaco FC 10 16
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 10 16
9 Stade Brestois 29 10 15
10 FC Lorient 10 15
11 Racing Club de Lens 10 13
12 Toulouse FC 10 13
13 RC Strasbourg Alsace 10 10
14 AJ Auxerre 10 10
15 Le Mans FC 10 8
16 Angers SCO 10 8
17 ES Troyes AC 10 8
18 Le Havre AC 10 2

Head-to-Head

2
4
5
Toulouse FC 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals Stade Brestois 29
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-30 Toulouse FC 2–4 Stade Brestois 29 2024-09-22 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-19 Toulouse FC 0–3 Stade Brestois 29 2023-10-08 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Toulouse FC 2023-04-02 Stade Brestois 29 3–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–4 L
16 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
Stade Brestois 29
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Toulouse FC A 4–2 W
16 Mar Stade de Reims H 0–0 D
09 Mar Angers SCO H 2–0 W
02 Mar Olympique Lyonnais A 1–2 L
23 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–0 D
19 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–7 L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Stade Brestois 29
#12 Position #9
13 Points 15
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 3
15 Scored 18
14 Conceded 12
+1 GD +6
1.30 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 40%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Stade Brestois 29 this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stade Brestois 29
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
Stade Brestois 29
Ludovic Ajorque 5 G 1 A
Kamory Doumbia 4 G 2 A
Mama Balde 2 G 1 A
Pathe Mboup 2 G 1 A
Romain Del Castillo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toulouse FC to score. At the same time, Stade Brestois 29 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stade Brestois 29's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toulouse FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 22' Justin Bourgault makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Stade Brestois 29 are in front.
  • 24' Stade Brestois 29 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Mathias Pereira Lage doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 28' Stade Brestois 29 receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' Luc Zogbe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Justin Bourgault makes way for Luc Zogbe at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stade Brestois 29.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' Mark McKenzie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 305 appearances.
  • 61' The travelling Stade Brestois 29 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Kamory Doumbia makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 64' The whistle greets Mama Balde as he departs to be replaced by Romain Del Castillo.
  • 65' A goal from the Switzerland international Vincent Sierro! He fires home on 65 to make it 1-3!
  • 68' The referee has no hesitation. Mathias Pereira Lage is booked for Stade Brestois 29 — card on 68.
  • 71' The Toulouse FC bench stirs into life. Gabriel Suazo is withdrawn and Noah Edjouma gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Kamory Doumbia makes way for Edimilson Fernandes at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stade Brestois 29.
  • 78' The Norway Joshua King breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 2-3!
  • 78' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Cristian Casseres Jr. has done his job and it is now time for Miha Zajc to step up.
  • 83' Toulouse FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 86' Marco Bizot has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Luc Zogbe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Mahdi Camara does the damage! The net is bulging and Stade Brestois 29 surge ahead!
  • 90' The Toulouse FC bench stirs into life. Djibril Sidibe is withdrawn and Warren Kamanzi gets his opportunity.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Stade Brestois 29 Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steve Mounie 4
Mahdi Camara 3
Thijs Dallinga 2
Kamory Doumbia 2
Jeremy Le Douaron 2
Bafode Diakite 2
Gaetan Charbonnier 2
Irvin Cardona 1

Head to Head

2025-03-30 Toulouse FC 2–4 Stade Brestois 29 2024-09-22 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-19 Toulouse FC 0–3 Stade Brestois 29 2023-10-08 Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Toulouse FC 2023-04-02 Stade Brestois 29 3–1 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2025-03-30 Toulouse FC 2–4 Stade Brestois 29 L 2025-03-16 RC Strasbourg Alsace 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2025-03-07 Toulouse FC 1–1 AS Monaco FC D 2025-03-02 Angers SCO 0–4 Toulouse FC W 2025-02-23 Le Havre AC 1–4 Toulouse FC W 2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC L

Stade Brestois 29 Form

2025-03-30 Toulouse FC 2–4 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-03-16 Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Stade de Reims D 2025-03-09 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Angers SCO W 2025-03-02 Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 Stade Brestois 29 L 2025-02-23 RC Strasbourg Alsace 0–0 Stade Brestois 29 D 2025-02-19 Paris Saint-Germain FC 7–0 Stade Brestois 29 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Stade Brestois 29 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC29% Draw25% Stade Brestois 2946%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Stade Brestois 29
71%
Toulouse FC or Stade Brestois 29
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC23% Draw41% Stade Brestois 2936%
Actual: Stade Brestois 29 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Stade Brestois 29 covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 20% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Stade Brestois 29 keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.