Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Nantes vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade de la Beaujoire 28,621 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mostafa Mohamed 83' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Nantes vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Beaujoire.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Assistant 1 Ludovic Reyes
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Lille OSC H 1–0 W
09 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
02 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
23 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 3–1 W
15 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–7 L
07 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FC Nantes A 0–1 L
12 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Olivier Giroud 1 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 1 G 1 A
Hakon Haraldsson 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Lille OSC gets underway.
  • 5' Lille OSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 12' It’s a booking for FC Nantes player. Pedro Chirivella gets a card.
  • 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Osame Sahraoui, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de la Beaujoire with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bruno Génésio might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' FC Nantes are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Louis Leroux is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Nantes.
  • 47' Lucas Chevalier needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 52' The 35-year-old Anthony Lopes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' Moses Simon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
  • 57' Controversy at the stadium! Aissa Mandi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 61' Chuba Akpom has so much to prove this time. He replaces Osame Sahraoui on 61 minute.
  • 66' Alexsandro Ribeiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Hakon Haraldsson. He receives a card.
  • 70' Fresh legs for FC Nantes! Mostafa Mohamed comes on to replace Sorba Thomas.
  • 73' The Lille OSC bench stirs into life. Gabriel Gudmundsson is withdrawn and Ismaily gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Jean-Charles Castelletto argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 76' Time for substitution for FC Nantes. Pedro Chirivella is replaced by Nicolas Pallois.
  • 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Nantes and Lille OSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 83' Mostafa Mohamed has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
  • 84' Remy Cabella is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mitchel Bakker at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' Johann Lepenant is replacing Moses Simon for the FC Nantes side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 FC Nantes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: FC Nantes or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Nantes42% Draw30% Lille OSC28%
Actual: FC Nantes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC Nantes or Draw
72%
Draw or Lille OSC
58%
FC Nantes or Lille OSC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Nantes28% Draw51% Lille OSC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Nantes

Handicap FC Nantes covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.