Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Nantes vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade de la Beaujoire 28,621 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mostafa Mohamed 83' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Nantes vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Beaujoire.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Assistant 1 Ludovic Reyes
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
7 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 14.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Lille OSC H 1–0 W
09 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
02 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
23 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 3–1 W
15 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–7 L
07 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FC Nantes A 0–1 L
12 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Olivier Giroud 3 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 2 G 1 A
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Ethan Mbappe 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Nantes launch into their encounter with Lille OSC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Antoine Kombouare might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 12' The referee shows FC Nantes player a card on 12.
  • 17' Wales international Sorba Thomas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 22' Lille OSC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
  • 32' The travelling Lille OSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Nantes side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 42' Remy Cabella is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Nantes so far.
  • 47' Sekou Doucoure has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Moses Simon is booked for FC Nantes — card on 54.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Aissa Mandi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 61' The Lille OSC bench stirs into life. Osame Sahraoui is withdrawn and Chuba Akpom gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 67' That is a card for Lille OSC. Hakon Haraldsson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Another substitution for FC Nantes to replace Sorba Thomas by Mostafa Mohamed on 70 minute.
  • 73' Another change for Lille OSC made on 73 minute. Gabriel Gudmundsson leaves to be changed by Ismaily.
  • 74' It’s gonna be a card for Jean-Charles Castelletto.
  • 76' Fresh legs for FC Nantes! Nicolas Pallois comes on to replace Pedro Chirivella.
  • 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Nantes and Lille OSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 83' What a strike from Mostafa Mohamed! The score is 1-0.
  • 84' Remy Cabella gets the nod from Lille OSC. He replaces Mitchel Bakker and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Moses Simon makes way for Johann Lepenant at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Nantes.
  • It finishes all square. FC Nantes and Lille OSC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 FC Nantes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: FC Nantes or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Nantes42% Draw30% Lille OSC28%
Actual: FC Nantes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC Nantes or Draw
72%
Draw or Lille OSC
58%
FC Nantes or Lille OSC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Nantes28% Draw51% Lille OSC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Nantes

Handicap FC Nantes covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.