Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Nantes vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade de la Beaujoire 28,621 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mostafa Mohamed 83' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Nantes vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stade de la Beaujoire.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Assistant 1 Ludovic Reyes
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Lille OSC H 1–0 W
09 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
02 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
23 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 3–1 W
15 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–7 L
07 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FC Nantes A 0–1 L
12 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Nantes Lille OSC
#1 Position #5
24 Points 0
34 Played 0
5 / 9 / 20 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
29 Scored 0
52 Conceded 0
-23 GD +0
0.71 PPG
15% Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Nantes are 1st (24 pts). Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC Nantes vs Lille OSC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' FC Nantes have won 329 goals from 426 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 12' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pedro Chirivella on 12 minutes.
  • 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bruno Génésio will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Saidou Sow suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' Jean-Charles Castelletto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 35 cards already picked up this season.
  • 37' Gabriel Gudmundsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Nantes and Lille OSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' Moses Simon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lille OSC so far.
  • 54' FC Nantes player sees a card in front of him.
  • 57' Lille OSC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 61' Chuba Akpom gets the nod from Lille OSC. He replaces Osame Sahraoui and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 67' That is a card for Lille OSC. Hakon Haraldsson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' FC Nantes make a change. Sorba Thomas trudges off to be replaced by Mostafa Mohamed on 70 minutes.
  • 73' The Lille OSC bench stirs into life. Gabriel Gudmundsson is withdrawn and Ismaily gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Jean-Charles Castelletto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' Pedro Chirivella makes way for Nicolas Pallois at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Nantes.
  • 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Nantes must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 83' GOAL! Mostafa Mohamed scores on 83. Assisted by Moses Simon
  • 84' It is a substitution in Lille OSC team. Mitchel Bakker is replaced by Remy Cabella on 84 minute.
  • 89' Lucas Chevalier has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' The FC Nantes bench stirs into life. Moses Simon is withdrawn and Johann Lepenant gets his opportunity.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Nantes 1-0 Lille OSC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.6 FC Nantes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Nantes34% Draw42% Lille OSC24%
Actual: FC Nantes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC Nantes or Draw
76%
Draw or Lille OSC
66%
FC Nantes or Lille OSC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Nantes16% Draw71% Lille OSC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.8%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 1
3.2%
1 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
1%
2 – 2
1%
3 – 1
0.7%
0 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Nantes

Handicap FC Nantes covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 22% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 18% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
61%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.