Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 30 Aug 2023 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Insigne 23' 1–0
1–1 45' Julian Carranza
Deandre Kerr 58' 2–1
Jonathan Osorio 63' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 3–1 W
26 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
20 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 2–3 L
16 Jul Chicago Fire FC A 0–1 L
08 Jul St. Louis City H 0–1 L
04 Jul Orlando City SC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Toronto FC A 1–3 L
26 Aug D.C. United SC A 3–1 W
15 Jul New York City FC H 2–1 W
13 Jul Nashville SC A 2–0 W
09 Jul Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–3 L
02 Jul Atlanta United FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Philadelphia Union
#11 Position #15
14 Points 7
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 10
22 Scored 18
29 Conceded 30
-7 GD -12
1.00 PPG 0.47
21% Win % 7%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at BMO Field!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 280 games and scored 369 goals.
  • 10' Federico Bernardeschi, a Italy , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' GOAL! Lorenzo Insigne scores on 23. Assisted by Deandre Kerr
  • 28' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 33' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Leon Flach is replaced by Jack McGlynn.
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' It’s high time Bob Bradley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Julian Carranza doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Deandre Kerr is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 63' The Canada Jonathan Osorio breaks the deadlock on 63 minutes. 3-1!
  • 68' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' Sigurd Rosted has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a card for Franco Ibarra.
  • 80' Toronto FC ring the changes. Deandre Kerr has done his job and it is now time for Victor Vazquez to step up.
  • 81' Philadelphia Union make a change. Daniel Gazdag trudges off to be replaced by Joaquin Torres on 81 minutes.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Julian Carranza as he leaves the pitch. Chris Donovan steps in for Philadelphia Union.
  • 87' Tomas Romero catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Jacob Glesnes on 90 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
  • 90' The whistle greets Franco Ibarra as he departs to be replaced by Brandon Servania.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.06 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC45% Draw24% Philadelphia Union31%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
55%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw39% Philadelphia Union26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.