Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 30 Aug 2023 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Insigne 23' 1–0
1–1 45' Julian Carranza
Deandre Kerr 58' 2–1
Jonathan Osorio 63' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 3–1 W
26 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
20 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 2–3 L
16 Jul Chicago Fire FC A 0–1 L
08 Jul St. Louis City H 0–1 L
04 Jul Orlando City SC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Toronto FC A 1–3 L
26 Aug D.C. United SC A 3–1 W
15 Jul New York City FC H 2–1 W
13 Jul Nashville SC A 2–0 W
09 Jul Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–3 L
02 Jul Atlanta United FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC Philadelphia Union
#13 Position #6
29 Points 39
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
39 Scored 54
51 Conceded 44
-12 GD +10
1.07 PPG 1.44
22% Win % 41%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toronto FC to score. At the same time, Philadelphia Union does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 23' A goal from the Italy international Lorenzo Insigne! He fires home on 23 to make it 1-0!
  • 28' Federico Bernardeschi, a Italy , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 33' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Jack McGlynn on, Leon Flach off on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 43' Mikkel Uhre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 293 appearances.
  • 45' Julian Carranza does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leon Flach, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 58' Deandre Kerr is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 63' Jonathan Osorio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 68' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 73' Chris Donovan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
  • 76' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Deandre Kerr is replaced by Victor Vazquez on 80 minute.
  • 81' Joaquin Torres has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Gazdag on 81 minute.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Julian Carranza as he leaves the pitch. Chris Donovan steps in for Philadelphia Union.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Tomas Romero on 87 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Jacob Glesnes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brandon Servania is hanging Franco Ibarra on the field on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC36% Draw24% Philadelphia Union40%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
64%
Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC27% Draw38% Philadelphia Union35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.