Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Toronto FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Wed 30 Aug 2023 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Lorenzo Insigne 23' 1–0

1–1 45' Julian Carranza

Deandre Kerr 58' 2–1

Jonathan Osorio 63' 3–1

Franco Ibarra 76' Y

Tomas Romero 87' Y

Y 90' Jacob Glesnes

Lorenzo Insigne 90' Y

Y 90' Jose Martinez

Victor Vazquez 90' Y

R 90' Jesus Bueno

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2023-04-22 Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC 2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC 2022-04-16 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2021-10-27 Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	3–1	W
26 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–2	L
20 Aug	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–3	L
16 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	0–1	L
08 Jul	St. Louis City	H	0–1	L
04 Jul	Orlando City SC	A	0–4	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	3–1	W
15 Jul	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Nashville SC	A	2–0	W
09 Jul	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–3	L
02 Jul	Atlanta United FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Philadelphia Union
#12	Position	#13
17	Points	16
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	4 / 4 / 10
24	Scored	25
32	Conceded	33
-8	GD	-8
0.94	PPG	0.89
17%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host Philadelphia Union — let the battle begin!
5' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Toronto FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's 4-3-1-2 shape.
23' The Italy Lorenzo Insigne breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 1-0!
28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 289 games and scored 484 goals.
33' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Leon Flach departs to be replaced by Jack McGlynn.
38' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jonathan Osorio made 284 appearances and scored 51 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
45' GOAL! Julian Carranza fires home to make it 1-1!
50' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
55' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
58' A stunning finish from Deandre Kerr — that came from absolutely nowhere!
63' Jonathan Osorio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bob Bradley might look to freshen things up shortly.
76' Franco Ibarra catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
80' Deandre Kerr makes way for Victor Vazquez at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
81' The supporters are chanting for Joaquin Torres. He replaces Daniel Gazdag on 81 minute.
82' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 82 minute. Julian Carranza leaves to be changed by Chris Donovan.
87' That is a card for Toronto FC. Tomas Romero will be fuming at that decision.
90' The referee calls foul for Jacob Glesnes. He receives a card.
90' Another change for Toronto FC made on 90 minute. Franco Ibarra leaves to be changed by Brandon Servania.
3-1 the final result. Philadelphia Union will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bob Bradley

Philadelphia Union Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sergio Santos	6
Mikael Uhre	4
Daniel Gazdag	4
Deandre Kerr	3
Pozuelo	3
Jonathan Osorio	3
Julian Carranza	2
Jamiro	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-08-26 Columbus Crew SC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2023-08-20 Toronto FC 2–3 Montreal Impact FC L 2023-07-16 Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Toronto FC L 2023-07-08 Toronto FC 0–1 St. Louis City L 2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC L

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-08-26 D.C. United SC 1–3 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC W 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-09 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-07-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.84 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC41% Draw25% Philadelphia Union34%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

59%

Toronto FC or Philadelphia Union

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC31% Draw40% Philadelphia Union29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.6%

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 1

4.3%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 0

4.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	17%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.