Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Charlotte FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | New England Revolution | H | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 39 | Points | 33 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 19 |
| 52 | Scored | 43 |
| 67 | Conceded | 60 |
| -15 | GD | -17 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 26% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host Atlanta United FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Noah Cobb has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 20' Edwin Mosquera has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 29' Toronto FC make a change. Shane O'Neill trudges off to be replaced by Aime Mabika on 29 minutes.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Long on 30.
- 35' Tyrese Spicer does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
- 40' Luka Gavran has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sigurd Rosted, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' Kosi Thompson is replacing Lorenzo Insigne for the Toronto FC side.
- 51' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 55' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Prince-Osei Owusu on, Deandre Kerr off on 55 minutes.
- 58' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Tyler Wolff by Xande Silva on 58 minute.
- 62' The whistle greets Matthew Longstaff as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Osorio.
- 67' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Xande Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' What a moment for Prince-Osei Owusu! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
- 75' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Nicolas Firmino by Edwin Mosquera on 75 minute.
- 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Kobe Franklin. He replaces Tyrese Spicer on 81 minute.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 299 games and scored 396 goals.
- 88' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Saba Lobzhanidze by Derrick Etienne on 88 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Atlanta United FC.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kosi Thompson 46'
- 17
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↓ Aime Mabika 29'
- 8
- 7
- 29
- 90
- 14
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Kobe Franklin 81'
Bench
-
99
Prince-Osei Owusu ↑ 55'
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 62'
- 9
- 18
- 77
-
6
Aime Mabika ↑ 29'
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 81'
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↓ Daniel Rios 75'
- 11
- 13
- 1
- 2
- 30
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↓ Xande Silva 58'
- 8
- 24
- 9
Bench
-
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 88'
-
16
Xande Silva ↑ 58'
- 22
-
–
Daniel Rios ↑ 75'
-
20
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 75'
- 14
- 25
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-03-23
Toronto FC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2024-03-17
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
W
2024-03-10
Atlanta United FC
4–1
New England Revolution
W
2024-02-24
Columbus Crew SC
1–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2023-10-21
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-10-07
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
49%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.