Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Charlotte FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | New England Revolution | H | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 17 | Points | 12 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 12 |
| 24 | Scored | 19 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -8 | GD | -14 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 17% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Toronto FC host Atlanta United FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Matthew Longstaff is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atlanta United FC so far.
- 15' Atlanta United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Edwin Mosquera has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 29' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Shane O'Neill exits the field as Aime Mabika enters on 29.
- 30' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Kevin Long gets a card.
- 35' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tyrese Spicer on 35.
- 40' Dax McCarty is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atlanta United FC tonight.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Toronto FC ring the changes. Lorenzo Insigne has done his job and it is now time for Kosi Thompson to step up.
- 51' Atlanta United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Aleksei Miranchuk scoring 1 goals.
- 55' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Deandre Kerr is replaced by Prince-Osei Owusu on 55 minute.
- 58' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Xande Silva on, Tyler Wolff off on 58 minutes.
- 62' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Jonathan Osorio comes on to replace Matthew Longstaff.
- 67' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' A stunning finish from Prince-Osei Owusu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' Edwin Mosquera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Firmino on 75 minute.
- 80' Atlanta United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 81' Toronto FC make a change. Tyrese Spicer trudges off to be replaced by Kobe Franklin on 81 minutes.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 284 games and scored 371 goals.
- 88' Atlanta United FC make a change. Saba Lobzhanidze trudges off to be replaced by Derrick Etienne on 88 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kosi Thompson 46'
- 17
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↓ Aime Mabika 29'
- 8
- 7
- 29
- 90
- 14
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Kobe Franklin 81'
Bench
-
99
Prince-Osei Owusu ↑ 55'
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 62'
- 9
- 18
- 77
-
6
Aime Mabika ↑ 29'
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 81'
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↓ Daniel Rios 75'
- 11
- 13
- 1
- 2
- 30
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↓ Xande Silva 58'
- 8
- 24
- 9
Bench
-
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 88'
-
16
Xande Silva ↑ 58'
- 22
-
–
Daniel Rios ↑ 75'
-
20
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 75'
- 14
- 25
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
| Jordan Perruzza | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-03-23
Toronto FC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2024-03-17
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
W
2024-03-10
Atlanta United FC
4–1
New England Revolution
W
2024-02-24
Columbus Crew SC
1–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2023-10-21
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2023-10-07
Atlanta United FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.71
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
47%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.