Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sat 23 Mar 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Long 30' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Atlanta United FC H 2–0 W
16 Mar New York City FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Charlotte FC H 1–0 W
03 Mar New England Revolution A 1–0 W
25 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–0 D
21 Oct Orlando City SC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Toronto FC A 0–2 L
17 Mar Orlando City SC H 2–0 W
10 Mar New England Revolution H 4–1 W
24 Feb Columbus Crew SC A 0–1 L
21 Oct FC Cincinnati A 2–2 D
07 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#11 Position #14
14 Points 11
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 9
22 Scored 14
29 Conceded 23
-7 GD -9
1.00 PPG 0.79
21% Win % 21%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.73 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC52% Draw25% Atlanta United FC23%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
48%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC37% Draw45% Atlanta United FC18%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.