Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–0 | W |
| 14 May | Charlotte FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | New England Revolution | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #13 |
| 11 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 9 |
| 14 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 44 |
| -9 | GD | -21 |
| 0.79 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 21% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Atlanta United FC to score. At the same time, Orlando City SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 4' Cesar Araujo adds to his 0 season tally! Orlando City SC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 9' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Orlando City SC backline.
- 14' Argentina international Rodrigo Schlegel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 19' GOAL! Aleksei Miranchuk scores on 19.
- 24' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 29' Orlando City SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 32' Ramiro Enrique does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
- 37' Matthew Edwards has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 283 appearances.
- 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 62' Dagur THorhallsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bartosz Slisz on 64 minutes.
- 68' Atlanta United FC make a change. Emmanuel Latte Lath trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Thiare on 68 minutes.
- 73' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Ivan Angulo exits the field as Kyle Smith enters on 73.
- 74' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Marco Pasalic departs to be replaced by Eduard Atuesta.
- 78' The referee has no hesitation. Cesar Araujo is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 78.
- 79' Mateusz Klich was booked on 79.
- 80' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Ramiro Enrique exits the field as Dagur THorhallsson enters on 80.
- 82' Poor challenge from Ajani Fortune. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 82' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Edwin Mosquera on, Luis Abram off on 82 minutes.
- 83' Assisted by Aleksei Miranchuk with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bartosz Slisz makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' Eduard Atuesta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Saba Lobzhanidze is replaced by Noah Cobb.
- The final score is 3-2.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
44
Luis Abram ↓ Edwin Mosquera 82'
- 59
- 1
- 10
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↓ Pedro Amador 68'
- 99
- 35
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Mateusz Klich 68'
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 68'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 68'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↑ 68'
-
70
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 82'
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
- 42
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Luis Muriel 74'
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Kyle Smith 73'
- 7
- 5
- 30
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Eduard Atuesta 74'
- 35
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 74'
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↑ 74'
- 3
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 73'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 90'
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 80'
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 5 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Miguel Almiron | 2 |
| Silvester van der Water | 2 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
2025-05-24
Orlando City SC
1–0
Portland Timbers
W
2025-05-18
Internacional CF Miami
0–3
Orlando City SC
W
2025-05-14
Orlando City SC
3–1
Charlotte FC
W
2025-05-10
Orlando City SC
3–3
New England Revolution
D
2025-05-04
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Orlando City SC
54%
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.