Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–0 | W |
| 14 May | Charlotte FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | New England Revolution | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 43 | Scored | 63 |
| 60 | Conceded | 78 |
| -17 | GD | -15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Mercedes-Benz Stadium that hosts another battle between Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC.
- 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cesar Araujo makes it 0-1.
- 9' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 14' Joran Gerbet, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 19' Aleksei Miranchuk doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Óscar Pareja will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' Ramiro Enrique does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
- 37' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's shape.
- 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Derrick Williams, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 47' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bartosz Slisz is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atlanta United FC.
- 57' Rodrigo Schlegel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 62' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bartosz Slisz on 64.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Jamal Thiare. He replaces Emmanuel Latte Lath on 68 minute.
- 73' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Ivan Angulo has done his job and it is now time for Kyle Smith to step up.
- 74' Marco Pasalic makes way for Eduard Atuesta at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Orlando City SC.
- 78' Poor challenge from Cesar Araujo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 79' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' Dagur THorhallsson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ramiro Enrique at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Edwin Mosquera. He replaces Luis Abram on 82 minute.
- 83' Brilliant from the ! Bartosz Slisz makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 83.
- 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Eduard Atuesta. He receives a card.
- 90' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Noah Cobb on, Saba Lobzhanidze off on 90 minutes.
- Orlando City SC will have plenty to reflect on. Atlanta United FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
44
Luis Abram ↓ Edwin Mosquera 82'
- 59
- 1
- 10
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↓ Pedro Amador 68'
- 99
- 35
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Mateusz Klich 68'
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 68'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 68'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↑ 68'
-
70
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 82'
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
- 42
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Luis Muriel 74'
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Kyle Smith 73'
- 7
- 5
- 30
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Eduard Atuesta 74'
- 35
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 74'
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↑ 74'
- 3
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 73'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 90'
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 80'
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 5 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
| Silvester van der Water | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
| Kyle Smith | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
2025-05-24
Orlando City SC
1–0
Portland Timbers
W
2025-05-18
Internacional CF Miami
0–3
Orlando City SC
W
2025-05-14
Orlando City SC
3–1
Charlotte FC
W
2025-05-10
Orlando City SC
3–3
New England Revolution
D
2025-05-04
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC 77% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Orlando City SC
57%
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.