Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–0 | W |
| 14 May | Charlotte FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | New England Revolution | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #7 |
| 27 | Points | 34 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 7 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 4 / 13 |
| 32 | Scored | 48 |
| 45 | Conceded | 64 |
| -13 | GD | -16 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.26 |
| 26% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
19%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 13 G | 1 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 8 G | 4 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC get this one started.
- 4' Magnificent from Cesar Araujo! That is 4 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 9' The 27-year-old Martin Ojeda has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 14' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Griffin Dorsey scoring 1 goals.
- 19' Aleksei Miranchuk adds to his 2 season tally! Atlanta United FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' Goal! Ramiro Enrique scores his 23 goal in 167 matches.
- 37' Luis Muriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 47' Orlando City SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 52' It’s high time Ronny Deila made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ronny Deila will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Jamal Thiare. He replaces Emmanuel Latte Lath on 68 minute.
- 73' Kyle Smith gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Ivan Angulo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Eduard Atuesta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marco Pasalic at the 74 minute mark.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cesar Araujo on 78 minutes.
- 79' Mateusz Klich picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' Dagur THorhallsson gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Ramiro Enrique and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' Poor challenge from Ajani Fortune. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 82' The Atlanta United FC bench stirs into life. Luis Abram is withdrawn and Edwin Mosquera gets his opportunity.
- 83' GOAL! Bartosz Slisz scores on 83. Assisted by Aleksei Miranchuk
- 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Eduard Atuesta.
- 90' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Saba Lobzhanidze departs to be replaced by Noah Cobb.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
44
Luis Abram ↓ Edwin Mosquera 82'
- 59
- 1
- 10
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↓ Pedro Amador 68'
- 99
- 35
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Mateusz Klich 68'
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 68'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 68'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↑ 68'
-
70
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 82'
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
- 42
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Luis Muriel 74'
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Kyle Smith 73'
- 7
- 5
- 30
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Eduard Atuesta 74'
- 35
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 74'
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↑ 74'
- 3
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 73'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 90'
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 80'
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 5 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 3 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Nani | 2 |
| Kyle Smith | 2 |
| Christopher Mueller | 2 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
2025-05-24
Orlando City SC
1–0
Portland Timbers
W
2025-05-18
Internacional CF Miami
0–3
Orlando City SC
W
2025-05-14
Orlando City SC
3–1
Charlotte FC
W
2025-05-10
Orlando City SC
3–3
New England Revolution
D
2025-05-04
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC 76% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Orlando City SC
56%
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.