Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 May | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–0 | W |
| 14 May | Charlotte FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | New England Revolution | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #11 |
| 12 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 3 / 12 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| 19 | Scored | 30 |
| 33 | Conceded | 47 |
| -14 | GD | -17 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 17% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 4' A goal from the Uruguay international Cesar Araujo! He fires home on 4 to make it 0-1!
- 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Saba Lobzhanidze suffering a number of foals already.
- 14' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' Brilliant from the ! Aleksei Miranchuk makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 19.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's shape.
- 32' The deadlock is broken! Ramiro Enrique gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 47' Orlando City SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ronny Deila will be considering his options from the bench.
- 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luis Abram, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 62' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bartosz Slisz on 64 minutes.
- 68' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Emmanuel Latte Lath departs to be replaced by Jamal Thiare.
- 73' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Ivan Angulo departs to be replaced by Kyle Smith.
- 74' Marco Pasalic makes way for Eduard Atuesta at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Orlando City SC.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cesar Araujo on 78 minutes.
- 79' That is a card for Atlanta United FC. Mateusz Klich will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Ramiro Enrique is replaced by Dagur THorhallsson on 80 minute.
- 82' Ajani Fortune was booked on 82.
- 82' The Atlanta United FC bench stirs into life. Luis Abram is withdrawn and Edwin Mosquera gets his opportunity.
- 83' What composure from Bartosz Slisz! The Poland international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Atlanta United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' It’s a booking for Orlando City SC player. Eduard Atuesta gets a card.
- 90' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 90 minute. Saba Lobzhanidze leaves to be changed by Noah Cobb.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Atlanta United FC take all three points.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
44
Luis Abram ↓ Edwin Mosquera 82'
- 59
- 1
- 10
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↓ Pedro Amador 68'
- 99
- 35
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Mateusz Klich 68'
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 68'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 68'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↑ 68'
-
70
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 82'
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
- 42
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Luis Muriel 74'
- 1
- 6
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Kyle Smith 73'
- 7
- 5
- 30
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Eduard Atuesta 74'
- 35
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 74'
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↑ 74'
- 3
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 73'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 90'
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 80'
- 96
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 5 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Christopher Mueller | 2 |
| Miguel Almiron | 2 |
| Miguel Almiron | 2 |
| Silvester van der Water | 2 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
2025-05-24
Orlando City SC
1–0
Portland Timbers
W
2025-05-18
Internacional CF Miami
0–3
Orlando City SC
W
2025-05-14
Orlando City SC
3–1
Charlotte FC
W
2025-05-10
Orlando City SC
3–3
New England Revolution
D
2025-05-04
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC 76% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Orlando City SC
57%
Atlanta United FC or Orlando City SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.