Friday , 25 September 2026

1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 25 Oct 2024 · 16:30 UTC RheinEnergieSTADION 50,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan Thielmann 66' 1–0
1–1 76' Sven Michel
1–2 80' Sven Michel

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Lechner
  • Assistant 1 Julius Martenstein
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Behrens (Germany)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
18 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–5 L
05 Oct SSV Ulm 1846 H 2–0 W
29 Sep Karlsruher SC H 4–4 D
21 Sep TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–2 D
14 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
19 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
04 Oct SSV Jahn Regensburg H 3–0 W
28 Sep Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
20 Sep Hannover 96 H 2–1 W
13 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 3–3 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: 1. FC Koln gets underway.
  • 5' It’s high time Lukas Kwasniok made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Germany international Marcel Hoffmeier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at RheinEnergieSTADION. 1. FC Koln seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Adriano Grimaldi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Koln and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' It’s gonna be a card for Ilyas Ansah.
  • 45' The 24-year-old Eric Martel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Marcel Hoffmeier departs to be replaced by Tjark Scheller.
  • 51' 1. FC Koln is showing some good football. However, 1. FC Koln are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Sven Michel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FC Koln so far.
  • 61' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Engelns argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Dejan Ljubicic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 63' Mathias Olesen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dejan Ljubicic at the 63 minute mark.
  • 66' Brilliant from the ! Jan Thielmann makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 66.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Santiago Castaneda.
  • 69' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Aaron Zehnter gets a card.
  • 71' Adrian Bravo-Sanchez is replacing Koen Kostons for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 76' What a strike from Sven Michel! The score is 1-1.
  • 76' The whistle greets Tim Lemperle as he departs to be replaced by Steffen Tigges.
  • 80' GOAL! Sven Michel fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 82' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Luis Engelns trudges off to be replaced by David Kinsombi on 82 minutes.
  • 84' Fresh legs for 1. FC Koln! Dominique Heintz comes on to replace Julian Pauli.
  • 85' 1. FC Koln ring the changes. Denis Huseinbasic has done his job and it is now time for Florian Kainz to step up.
  • 90' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gerhard Struber will be considering his options from the bench.
  • It finishes all square. 1. FC Koln and SC Paderborn 07 share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 1. FC Köln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Köln or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Köln42% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0731%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

1. FC Köln or Draw
70%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
1. FC Köln or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Köln34% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Köln

Handicap 1. FC Köln covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.