1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION.
- 1. FC Köln 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Lechner
- Assistant 1 Julius Martenstein
- Assistant 2 Kevin Behrens (Germany)
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | SSV Ulm 1846 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Karlsruher SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 21 Sep | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Hamburger SV | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | Hannover 96 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Preußen Münster | A | 3–3 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: 1. FC Koln gets underway.
- 5' It’s high time Lukas Kwasniok made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Germany international Marcel Hoffmeier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' A quiet spell here at RheinEnergieSTADION. 1. FC Koln seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Adriano Grimaldi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Koln and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' It’s gonna be a card for Ilyas Ansah.
- 45' The 24-year-old Eric Martel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Marcel Hoffmeier departs to be replaced by Tjark Scheller.
- 51' 1. FC Koln is showing some good football. However, 1. FC Koln are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Sven Michel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FC Koln so far.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Luis Engelns argues furiously but the card stands.
- 62' Poor challenge from Dejan Ljubicic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 63' Mathias Olesen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dejan Ljubicic at the 63 minute mark.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Jan Thielmann makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 66.
- 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Santiago Castaneda.
- 69' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Aaron Zehnter gets a card.
- 71' Adrian Bravo-Sanchez is replacing Koen Kostons for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 76' What a strike from Sven Michel! The score is 1-1.
- 76' The whistle greets Tim Lemperle as he departs to be replaced by Steffen Tigges.
- 80' GOAL! Sven Michel fires home to make it 1-2!
- 82' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Luis Engelns trudges off to be replaced by David Kinsombi on 82 minutes.
- 84' Fresh legs for 1. FC Koln! Dominique Heintz comes on to replace Julian Pauli.
- 85' 1. FC Koln ring the changes. Denis Huseinbasic has done his job and it is now time for Florian Kainz to step up.
- 90' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gerhard Struber will be considering his options from the bench.
- It finishes all square. 1. FC Koln and SC Paderborn 07 share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
1. FC Köln Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 37
- 9
- 17
- 7
- 29
- 19
- 6
- 40
- 8
- 24
Bench
- 11
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 21
- 16
- 47
- 18
- 35
Coach
Gerhard Struber
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 71'
- 33
- 4
- 32
- 5
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 71'
- 10
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ David Kinsombi 82'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 82'
- 1
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 71'
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 71'
- 19
-
42
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez ↑ 71'
- 9
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↑ 46'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sven Michel | 2 |
| Jonas Hector | 1 |
| Jorge Mere | 1 |
| Dennis Srbeny | 1 |
| Jan Thielmann | 1 |
| Denis Huseinbasic | 1 |
| Marvin Mehlem | 1 |
| Simon Terodde | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Köln Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69
1. FC Köln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Köln or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
1. FC Köln or Draw
70%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
1. FC Köln or SC Paderborn 07
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Köln
| Handicap | 1. FC Köln covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

