Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Wed 5 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Vicarage Road Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
02 Oct Stoke City FC A 4–0 W
17 Sep Sunderland AFC H 2–2 D
13 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Watford FC A 2–1 W
01 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–2 W
17 Sep Hull City AFC H 3–0 W
13 Sep Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
03 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Stoke City FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Watford FC Swansea City AFC
#16 Position #11
57 Points 64
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
53 Scored 57
65 Conceded 59
-12 GD -2
1.24 PPG 1.39
30% Win % 39%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Vicarage Road Stadium as Watford FC face off against Swansea City AFC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact .
  • 34' Magnificent from Ismaila Sarr! That is 73 goals in 422 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' GOAL! Jules Ntcham scores on 52.
  • 56' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Yaser Asprilla is withdrawn and Imran Louza gets his opportunity.
  • 61' Another change for Watford FC made on 61 minute. Mario Gaspar leaves to be changed by James Morris.
  • 66' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 67' Matt Grimes is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
  • 70' Oliver Cooper is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jules Ntcham at the 70 minute mark.
  • 71' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Jules Ntcham by Oliver Cooper on 71 minute.
  • 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 78' Joel Latibeaudiere has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matthew Sorinola on 78 minute.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Watford FCMatthew Pollock on, Francisco Sierralta off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' The energy levels are beginning to show. Slaven Bilic might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 89' It’s high time Slaven Bilic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Kyle Naughton is replaced by Harry Darling on 90 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Imran Louza. He receives a Yellow card.
  • Swansea City AFC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC33% Draw28% Swansea City AFC39%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
67%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC25% Draw45% Swansea City AFC30%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.