Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Sep | Hull City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #11 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 65 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | -2 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 30% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Vicarage Road Stadium as Watford FC face off against Swansea City AFC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact .
- 34' Magnificent from Ismaila Sarr! That is 73 goals in 422 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 39' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 52' GOAL! Jules Ntcham scores on 52.
- 56' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Yaser Asprilla is withdrawn and Imran Louza gets his opportunity.
- 61' Another change for Watford FC made on 61 minute. Mario Gaspar leaves to be changed by James Morris.
- 66' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 67' Matt Grimes is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 70' Oliver Cooper is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jules Ntcham at the 70 minute mark.
- 71' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Jules Ntcham by Oliver Cooper on 71 minute.
- 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 78' Joel Latibeaudiere has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matthew Sorinola on 78 minute.
- 79' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Matthew Pollock on, Francisco Sierralta off on 79 minutes.
- 84' The energy levels are beginning to show. Slaven Bilic might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 89' It’s high time Slaven Bilic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Kyle Naughton is replaced by Harry Darling on 90 minute.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Imran Louza. He receives a Yellow card.
- Swansea City AFC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 12
- 27
- 7
- 23
- 14
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↓ James Morris 61'
- 31
- 1
- 39
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Imran Louza 56'
Bench
- 16
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 79'
-
32
Matthew Pollock ↑ 79'
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 56'
- 35
- 36
-
42
James Morris ↑ 61'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Harry Darling 90'
- 13
- 23
- 3
-
10
Jules Ntcham ↓ Oliver Cooper 71'
- 5
- 9
- 17
- 29
Bench
- 1
-
6
Harry Darling ↑ 90'
-
22
Joel Latibeaudiere ↑ 78'
- 18
- 24
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 71'
- 21
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2022-10-05
Watford FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-10-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-09-17
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Hull City AFC
W
2022-09-13
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2022-09-03
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2022-08-31
Stoke City FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
67%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

