Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Sep | Hull City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #6 |
| 15 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 18 |
| -10 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 27% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Watford FC launch into their encounter with Swansea City AFC.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact .
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Russell Martin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 34' What composure from Ismaila Sarr! The Senegal international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 39' Scotland international Jay Fulton has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' Benjamin Cabango is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
- 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yaser Asprilla, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 52' Jules Ntcham adds to his 0 season tally! Swansea City AFC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 56' Imran Louza has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yaser Asprilla on 56 minute.
- 61' Watford FC ring the changes. Mario Gaspar has done his job and it is now time for James Morris to step up.
- 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matt Grimes on 67.
- 70' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Oliver Cooper on, Jules Ntcham off on 70 minutes.
- 71' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Jules Ntcham has done his job and it is now time for Oliver Cooper to step up.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Joel Latibeaudiere on, Matthew Sorinola off on 78 minutes.
- 79' The whistle greets Francisco Sierralta as he departs to be replaced by Matthew Pollock.
- 84' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Steven Benda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 89' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' Harry Darling is replacing Kyle Naughton for the Swansea City AFC side.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Imran Louza on 90 minutes.
- Another three points for Swansea City AFC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 12
- 27
- 7
- 23
- 14
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↓ James Morris 61'
- 31
- 1
- 39
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Imran Louza 56'
Bench
- 16
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 79'
-
32
Matthew Pollock ↑ 79'
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 56'
- 35
- 36
-
42
James Morris ↑ 61'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Harry Darling 90'
- 13
- 23
- 3
-
10
Jules Ntcham ↓ Oliver Cooper 71'
- 5
- 9
- 17
- 29
Bench
- 1
-
6
Harry Darling ↑ 90'
-
22
Joel Latibeaudiere ↑ 78'
- 18
- 24
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 71'
- 21
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Isaac Success | 1 |
| Adam Idah | 1 |
| Jules Ntcham | 1 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 1 |
| Benjamin Cabango | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2022-10-05
Watford FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-10-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-09-17
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Hull City AFC
W
2022-09-13
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2022-09-03
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2022-08-31
Stoke City FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
72%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

