Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Stoke City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Sep | Hull City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #1 |
| 8 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 10 | Conceded | 6 |
| -3 | GD | +7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 25% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Vicarage Road Stadium that hosts another battle between Watford FC and Swansea City AFC.
- 5' Harry Darling has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 25' Hamza Choudhury has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adam Idah scoring 1 goals.
- 34' What a strike from Ismaila Sarr! The score is 1-0.
- 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Watford FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 49' It’s high time Slaven Bilic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 52' Jules Ntcham adds to his 0 season tally! Swansea City AFC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 56' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Yaser Asprilla by Imran Louza on 56 minute.
- 61' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Mario Gaspar exits the field as James Morris enters on 61.
- 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jay Fulton made 388 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 67' Matt Grimes was booked on 67.
- 70' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Jules Ntcham is withdrawn and Oliver Cooper gets his opportunity.
- 71' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 71 minute. Jules Ntcham leaves to be changed by Oliver Cooper.
- 76' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Joel Latibeaudiere. He replaces Matthew Sorinola on 78 minute.
- 79' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Francisco Sierralta by Matthew Pollock on 79 minute.
- 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Swansea City AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 89' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 90' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Harry Darling on, Kyle Naughton off on 90 minutes.
- 90' The referee shows Watford FC player a Yellow card on 90.
- Another three points for Swansea City AFC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 12
- 27
- 7
- 23
- 14
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↓ James Morris 61'
- 31
- 1
- 39
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Imran Louza 56'
Bench
- 16
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 79'
-
32
Matthew Pollock ↑ 79'
-
6
Imran Louza ↑ 56'
- 35
- 36
-
42
James Morris ↑ 61'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Harry Darling 90'
- 13
- 23
- 3
-
10
Jules Ntcham ↓ Oliver Cooper 71'
- 5
- 9
- 17
- 29
Bench
- 1
-
6
Harry Darling ↑ 90'
-
22
Joel Latibeaudiere ↑ 78'
- 18
- 24
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 71'
- 21
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 1 |
| Benjamin Cabango | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2022-10-05
Watford FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-10-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-09-17
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Hull City AFC
W
2022-09-13
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2022-09-03
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2022-08-31
Stoke City FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
74%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.