Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Oxford United FC

Wed 25 Feb 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Linington

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Oxford United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-25 Stoke City FC 2–1 Oxford United FC 2025-11-04 Oxford United FC 0–3 Stoke City FC 2025-01-25 Stoke City FC 0–0 Oxford United FC 2024-09-14 Oxford United FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D
15 Feb	Fulham FC	H	1–2	L
11 Feb	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
07 Feb	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	0–0	D
31 Jan	Southampton FC	H	0–2	L

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Stoke City FC	A	1–2	L
21 Feb	Middlesbrough FC	A	0–0	D
15 Feb	Sunderland AFC	H	0–1	L
10 Feb	Norwich City FC	H	0–3	L
07 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	0–0	D
03 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Oxford United FC
#17	Position	#22
55	Points	47
46	Played	46
15 / 10 / 21	W / D / L	11 / 14 / 21
51	Scored	45
56	Conceded	59
-5	GD	-14
1.20	PPG	1.02
33%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Stoke City FC to score. At the same time, Oxford United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Idris El Mizouni	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.3 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Oxford United FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC48% Draw29% Oxford United FC23%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Oxford United FC

52%

Stoke City FC or Oxford United FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC30% Draw52% Oxford United FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

13.5%

1 – 0

13.4%

2 – 0

9.1%

0 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.9%

2 – 2

3.7%

3 – 1

3.6%

3 – 2

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Oxford United FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	23%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	16%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.