Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 13 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
10 Dec Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
06 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–4 L
29 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–2 L
25 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 3–0 W
22 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–2 L
09 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
29 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–3 L
25 Nov Derby County FC H 1–2 L
22 Nov Bristol City FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Swansea City AFC
#17 Position #11
55 Points 64
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
51 Scored 57
56 Conceded 59
-5 GD -2
1.20 PPG 1.39
33% Win % 39%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC49% Draw26% Swansea City AFC25%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
51%
Stoke City FC or Swansea City AFC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC33% Draw46% Swansea City AFC21%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.