Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Oxford United FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,507 HT 45' · FT 45'
Idris El Mizouni 48' 1–0
Y 79' Junior Tchamadeu

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-09-14 Oxford United FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
24 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
16 Aug Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
10 Aug Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
27 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Watford FC A 0–3 L
10 Aug Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
04 May Bristol City FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Stoke City FC
#22 Position #17
47 Points 55
46 Played 46
11 / 14 / 21 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
45 Scored 51
59 Conceded 56
-14 GD -5
1.02 PPG 1.20
24% Win % 33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kassam Stadium!
  • 5' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Ben Gibson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 33' The crowd applauds Lynden Gooch as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Moran steps in for Stoke City FC.
  • 38' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Niall Ennis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Cameron Brannagan exits the field as Ruben Rodrigues enters on 45.
  • 48' Idris El Mizouni adds to his 0 season tally! Oxford United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 53' Peter Kioso has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Lewis Koumas on, Sol Sidibe off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joon-ho Bae suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' Oxford United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' Will Vaulks gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Josh McEachran and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Junior Tchamadeu on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Malcolm Ebiowei is hanging Siriki Dembele on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Oxford United FC take all three points.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC51% Draw30% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
49%
Oxford United FC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC32% Draw56% Stoke City FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 15% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.