Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Oxford United FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,507 HT 45' · FT 45'
Idris El Mizouni 48' 1–0
Y 79' Junior Tchamadeu

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-09-14 Oxford United FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
24 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
16 Aug Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
10 Aug Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
27 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Watford FC A 0–3 L
10 Aug Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
04 May Bristol City FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Oxford United FC host Stoke City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Stoke City FC have won 404 goals from 384 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Oxford United FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 384 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oxford United FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 33' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Andrew Moran comes on to replace Lynden Gooch.
  • 38' Oxford United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Oxford United FC and Stoke City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Cameron Brannagan is replaced by Ruben Rodrigues.
  • 48' Idris El Mizouni is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Lewis Koumas on, Sol Sidibe off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Viktor Johansson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Will Vaulks on, Josh McEachran off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Stoke City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Siriki Dembele is replaced by Malcolm Ebiowei.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Oxford United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Oxford United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC54% Draw29% Stoke City FC17%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Oxford United FC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC34% Draw54% Stoke City FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
2.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 27% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.