Saturday , 14 November 2026

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Oxford United FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,507 HT 45' · FT 45'
Idris El Mizouni 48' 1–0
Y 79' Junior Tchamadeu

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-09-14 Oxford United FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
24 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
16 Aug Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
10 Aug Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
27 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Watford FC A 0–3 L
10 Aug Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
04 May Bristol City FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Jack McGlynn 5 G 2 A
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 4 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Kassam Stadium. Oxford United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Stoke City FC.
  • 5' Lewis Koumas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oxford United FC so far.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Viktor Johansson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emre Tezgel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 33' Andrew Moran has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lynden Gooch on 33 minute.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Ruben Rodrigues comes on to replace Cameron Brannagan.
  • 48' Magnificent from Idris El Mizouni! That is 3 goals in 367 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 53' Oxford United FC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 58' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Koumas is hanging Sol Sidibe on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 68' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 73' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 74' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Will Vaulks is hanging Josh McEachran on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' Junior Tchamadeu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 81' Malcolm Ebiowei has so much to prove this time. He replaces Siriki Dembele on 81 minute.
  • 86' Stoke City FC have won 422 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • Another three points for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC54% Draw29% Stoke City FC17%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Oxford United FC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC34% Draw54% Stoke City FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.1%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
2.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 27% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.