Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 20 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 23,366 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ben Wilmot 30' 1–0
1–1 63' Kasey Palmer
1–2 77' Regan Slater
1–3 79' Ben Wilmot og
Ben Gibson 63' Y
Emre Tezgel 85' Y
Y 85' Ivor Pandur
Ben Wilmot 87' Y
Y 89' Liam Millar

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Hull City AFCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Watford FC A 0–3 L
10 Aug Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
13 Sep Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
31 Aug Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
24 Aug Millwall FC H 0–0 D
17 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D
10 Aug Bristol City FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Hull City AFC
#17 Position #6
55 Points 73
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 15
51 Scored 70
56 Conceded 66
-5 GD +4
1.20 PPG 1.59
33% Win % 46%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Bet365 Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Abdulkadir Omur has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 18 appearances.
  • 10' Regan Slater has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Hull City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hull City AFC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 25' Xavier Simons, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Brilliant from the ! Ben Wilmot makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 30.
  • 35' It’s high time Steven Schumacher made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Hull City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The whistle greets Abdulkadir Omur as he departs to be replaced by Liam Millar.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Millar made 260 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' Hull City AFC make a change. Marvin Mehlem trudges off to be replaced by Regan Slater on 58 minutes.
  • 59' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Oscar Zambrano has done his job and it is now time for Xavier Simons to step up.
  • 60' Emre Tezgel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis Koumas at the 60 minute mark.
  • 63' What a strike from Kasey Palmer! The score is 1-1.
  • 63' Ben Gibson is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wouter Burger suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 77' What a moment for Regan Slater! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 79' What composure from Ben Wilmot! The England international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 81' Tatsuki Seko is replacing Jordan Thompson for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 84' Finley Burns gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Kasey Palmer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Emre Tezgel is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 87' Ben Wilmot has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • 89' A moment of madness from Liam Millar on 89 minutes earns him a card. Hull City AFC will be frustrated.
  • 90' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Eric Bocat exits the field as Niall Ennis enters on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Hull City AFC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC35% Draw28% Hull City AFC37%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Hull City AFC
65%
Stoke City FC or Hull City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC25% Draw46% Hull City AFC29%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.