Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 22 | Scored | 30 |
| 18 | Conceded | 19 |
| +4 | GD | +11 |
| 1.73 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Swansea City AFC and Middlesbrough FC get this one started.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 394 games and scored 488 goals.
- 10' It’s high time Vítor Matos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 12' Assisted by Tommy Conway with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alex Bangura makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Zan Vipotnik does the damage! The net is bulging and Swansea City AFC surge ahead!
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 34' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Alex Bangura is withdrawn and Finley Munroe gets his opportunity.
- 39' Benjamin Cabango has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 141 appearances.
- 44' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Riley McGree.
- 49' What a strike from Zan Vipotnik! The score is 2-1.
- 51' Goncalo Franco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
- 56' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Goncalo Franco is replaced by Marko Stamenic.
- 61' Jeremy Sarmiento is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 62' Alan Browne was booked on 62.
- 65' Ji-sung Eom was booked on 65.
- 66' The crowd applauds David Strelec as he leaves the pitch. Sontje Hansen steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kim Hellberg might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 72' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Joel Ward comes on to replace Sam Parker.
- 75' Against the run of play, Tommy Conway has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Swansea City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 81' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Finley Munroe trudges off to be replaced by Alex Gilbert on 81 minutes.
- 86' Solomon Brynn, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tommy Conway on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Malick Yalcouye 81'
- 20
- 15
- 22
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Marko Stamenic 56'
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↓ Adam Idah 56'
-
41
Sam Parker ↓ Joel Ward 72'
- 10
-
7
Melker Widell ↓ Ronald 56'
Bench
-
25
Joel Ward ↑ 72'
- 1
-
33
Adam Idah ↑ 56'
-
6
Marko Stamenic ↑ 56'
- 21
-
35
Ronald ↑ 56'
- 23
- 18
-
8
Malick Yalcouye ↑ 81'
Coach
Vítor Matos
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 2
- 16
- 12
- 8
-
13
David Strelec ↓ Sontje Hansen 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↓ Finley Munroe 34'
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Dael Fry 66'
Bench
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 66'
- 25
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↑ 66'
-
20
Mamadou Kaly Sene ↑ 66'
- 14
- 32
- 28
-
15
Finley Munroe ↑ 34'
- 44
Coach
Kim Hellberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre Ayew | 5 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 3 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Zan Vipotnik | 2 |
| Rhian Brewster | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Sam Morsy | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-04-06
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-04-03
Middlesbrough FC
1–2
Millwall FC
L
2026-03-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-03-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2026-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2026-03-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
59%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
68%
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

