Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 64 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 57 | Scored | 72 |
| 59 | Conceded | 47 |
| -2 | GD | +25 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 39% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Swansea City AFC and Middlesbrough FC has kicked off!
- 5' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Tommy Conway has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 12' GOAL! Alex Bangura scores on 12. Assisted by Tommy Conway
- 17' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Goal! Zan Vipotnik scores his 23 goal in 105 matches.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jay Fulton made 383 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' Finley Munroe is replacing Alex Bangura for the Middlesbrough FC side.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Middlesbrough FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 49' Goal! Zan Vipotnik scores his 23 goal in 105 matches.
- 51' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Goncalo Franco gets a card.
- 56' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marko Stamenic is hanging Goncalo Franco on the field on 56 minute.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Alan Browne.
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ji-sung Eom on 65.
- 66' Sontje Hansen has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Strelec on 66 minute.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 72' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joel Ward is hanging Sam Parker on the field on 72 minute.
- 75' GOAL! Tommy Conway scores on 75.
- 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 81' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Finley Munroe is replaced by Alex Gilbert.
- 86' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a card on 90.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Malick Yalcouye 81'
- 20
- 15
- 22
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Marko Stamenic 56'
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↓ Adam Idah 56'
-
41
Sam Parker ↓ Joel Ward 72'
- 10
-
7
Melker Widell ↓ Ronald 56'
Bench
-
25
Joel Ward ↑ 72'
- 1
-
33
Adam Idah ↑ 56'
-
6
Marko Stamenic ↑ 56'
- 21
-
35
Ronald ↑ 56'
- 23
- 18
-
8
Malick Yalcouye ↑ 81'
Coach
Vítor Matos
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 2
- 16
- 12
- 8
-
13
David Strelec ↓ Sontje Hansen 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↓ Finley Munroe 34'
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Dael Fry 66'
Bench
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 66'
- 25
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↑ 66'
-
20
Mamadou Kaly Sene ↑ 66'
- 14
- 32
- 28
-
15
Finley Munroe ↑ 34'
- 44
Coach
Kim Hellberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre Ayew | 5 |
| Riley McGree | 3 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Zan Vipotnik | 2 |
| Rhian Brewster | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Matt Grimes | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-04-06
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-04-03
Middlesbrough FC
1–2
Millwall FC
L
2026-03-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-03-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2026-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2026-03-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.04
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
57%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
70%
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

