Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 13 | Scored | 16 |
| 6 | Conceded | 12 |
| +7 | GD | +4 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Middlesbrough FC get us underway at Swansea.com Stadium.
- 5' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 12' Alex Bangura doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' The Slovenia Zan Vipotnik breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-1!
- 25' Swansea City AFC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 34' Finley Munroe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Bangura on 34 minute.
- 39' David Strelec is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 44' Ji-sung Eom is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
- 45' Middlesbrough FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 49' Zan Vipotnik doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 51' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Goncalo Franco on 51 minutes.
- 56' Swansea City AFC make a change. Goncalo Franco trudges off to be replaced by Marko Stamenic on 56 minutes.
- 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 391 games and scored 484 goals.
- 62' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a card on 62.
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Ji-sung Eom argues furiously but the card stands.
- 66' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. David Strelec departs to be replaced by Sontje Hansen.
- 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 72' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Sam Parker is withdrawn and Joel Ward gets his opportunity.
- 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tommy Conway makes it 2-2.
- 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 81' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — Alex Gilbert on, Finley Munroe off on 81 minutes.
- 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tommy Conway.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Malick Yalcouye 81'
- 20
- 15
- 22
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Marko Stamenic 56'
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↓ Adam Idah 56'
-
41
Sam Parker ↓ Joel Ward 72'
- 10
-
7
Melker Widell ↓ Ronald 56'
Bench
-
25
Joel Ward ↑ 72'
- 1
-
33
Adam Idah ↑ 56'
-
6
Marko Stamenic ↑ 56'
- 21
-
35
Ronald ↑ 56'
- 23
- 18
-
8
Malick Yalcouye ↑ 81'
Coach
Vítor Matos
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 2
- 16
- 12
- 8
-
13
David Strelec ↓ Sontje Hansen 66'
-
24
Alex Bangura ↓ Finley Munroe 34'
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Dael Fry 66'
Bench
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 66'
- 25
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↑ 66'
-
20
Mamadou Kaly Sene ↑ 66'
- 14
- 32
- 28
-
15
Finley Munroe ↑ 34'
- 44
Coach
Kim Hellberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre Ayew | 5 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 3 |
| Rhian Brewster | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Zan Vipotnik | 2 |
| Cameron Archer | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-04-06
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-04-03
Middlesbrough FC
1–2
Millwall FC
L
2026-03-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-03-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2026-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2026-03-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Swansea City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

