Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC Stadium of Light 41,329 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke O'Nien 16' 1–0
1–1 43' Tom Dele-Bashiru pen
1–2 46' Imran Louza
Dennis Cirkin 89' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Neil Davies
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Watford FC H 2–2 D
03 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 3–2 W
25 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
01 Feb Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Derby County FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Watford FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw27% Watford FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Watford FC
60%
Sunderland AFC or Watford FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC28% Draw46% Watford FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.