Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC Stadium of Light 41,329 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke O'Nien 16' 1–0
1–1 43' Tom Dele-Bashiru pen
1–2 46' Imran Louza
Dennis Cirkin 89' 2–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Watford FC H 2–2 D
03 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 3–2 W
25 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
01 Feb Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Derby County FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sunderland AFC get us underway at Stadium of Light.
  • 5' Sunderland AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Anthony Patterson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' It’s high time Regis Le Bris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 16' Luke O'Nien adds to his 0 season tally! Sunderland AFC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Edo Kayembe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' That is a card for Watford FC. Mamadou Doumbia will be fuming at that decision.
  • 32' Sunderland AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Wilson Isidor on 35 minutes earns him a card. Sunderland AFC will be frustrated.
  • 40' Tom Ince has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tom Dele-Bashiru makes it 1-1.
  • 46' Brilliant from the ! Imran Louza makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 46.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 59' Sunderland AFC make a change. Salis Abdul Samed trudges off to be replaced by Milan Aleksic on 59 minutes.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Jeremy Ngakia. He replaces Yasser Larouci on 61 minute.
  • 65' It’s gonna be a card for Enzo Le Fee.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yasser Larouci made 409 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Eliezer Mayenda gets the nod from Sunderland AFC. He replaces Chris Rigg and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sunderland AFC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a card on 80.
  • 81' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Mamadou Doumbia exits the field as Tom Ince enters on 81.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Sunderland AFC! Daniel Ballard comes on to replace Chris Mepham.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Moussa Sissoko is replaced by Francisco Sierralta.
  • 89' What composure from Dennis Cirkin! The Latvia international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 90' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Sunderland AFC 2-2 Watford FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Watford FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw27% Watford FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Watford FC
60%
Sunderland AFC or Watford FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC28% Draw46% Watford FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
26%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.