Stoke City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Watford FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC 2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC 2024-08-17 Watford FC 3–0 Stoke City FC 2023-12-29 Watford FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Watford FC	H	3–1	W
10 Mar	Ipswich Town FC	H	3–3	D
07 Mar	Swansea City AFC	A	0–2	L
28 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	1–2	L
25 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Stoke City FC	A	1–3	L
10 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	1–1	D
27 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	2–1	W
24 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	0–2	L
21 Feb	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W
14 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Watford FC
#7	Position	#20
13	Points	8
8	Played	8
4 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 4
13	Scored	7
12	Conceded	10
+1	GD	-3
1.63	PPG	1.00
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Ethan Galbraith	4 G	1 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Stoke City FC to score. At the same time, Watford FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
It finishes all square. Stoke City FC and Watford FC share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keinan Davis	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Edo Kayembe	2
Imran Louza	2
Steven Fletcher	2
Tom Cleverley	1
Ryan Andrews	1
Joao Pedro	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC W 2026-03-10 Stoke City FC 3–3 Ipswich Town FC D 2026-03-07 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-28 Coventry City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC L 2026-02-25 Stoke City FC 2–1 Oxford United FC W 2026-02-21 Stoke City FC 2–2 Leicester City FC D

Watford FC Form

2026-03-14 Stoke City FC 3–1 Watford FC L 2026-03-10 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2026-02-27 Bristol City FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2026-02-24 Watford FC 0–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC W 2026-02-14 Preston North End FC 2–2 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.67 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC48% Draw26% Watford FC26%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Watford FC

52%

Stoke City FC or Watford FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC34% Draw45% Watford FC21%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 0

8.8%

2 – 0

0 – 0

7.6%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

5.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.