Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC The Den 16,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mihailo Ivanovic pen 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
08 Mar Watford FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bristol City FC H 0–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
01 Mar Watford FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#16 Position #3
18 Points 29
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 4
23 Scored 24
27 Conceded 18
-4 GD +6
1.20 PPG 1.93
33% Win % 60%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Stoke City FC
Jack McGlynn 5 G 2 A
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 4 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Northern Ireland international Jordan Thompson has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at The Den. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aidomo Emakhu on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' Ashley Phillips has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 55' Joe Bryan is a natural left-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 60' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 63' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Ali Al-Hamadi exits the field as Sam Gallagher enters on 64.
  • 69' Million Manhoef has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Aidomo Emakhu exits the field as Aaron Connolly enters on 74.
  • 76' Aaron Connolly has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
  • 78' Andrew Moran is replacing Lewis Baker for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 83' With 1 assists to his name this season, Raees Bangura-Williams is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 88' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Raees Bangura-Williams exits the field as Luke Cundle enters on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Millwall FC and Stoke City FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Stoke City FC 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC45% Draw26% Stoke City FC29%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
55%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC27% Draw48% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.