Sunday , 16 August 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC The Den 16,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mihailo Ivanovic pen 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
08 Mar Watford FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bristol City FC H 0–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
01 Mar Watford FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#9 Position #26
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Millwall FC are 9th (0 pts). Stoke City FC are 26th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Millwall FC gets underway.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Controversy at the stadium! Aidomo Emakhu argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Junior Tchamadeu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Josh Coburn has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Ashley Phillips has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • 63' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Lewis Koumas gets a card.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ali Al-Hamadi is replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 74' Millwall FC ring the changes. Aidomo Emakhu has done his job and it is now time for Aaron Connolly to step up.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a card for Aaron Connolly.
  • 78' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Lewis Baker departs to be replaced by Andrew Moran.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Raees Bangura-Williams made 382 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' That is a card for Stoke City FC. Ben Wilmot will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Luke Cundle comes on to replace Raees Bangura-Williams.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.63 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.34 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Millwall FC or Draw 85%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC43% Draw42% Stoke City FC15%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes16% 0% No84%
Avg goals/match: 0.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 59%
41%
± 1.5 26%
74%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Stoke City FC
57%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC18% Draw74% Stoke City FC8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
40.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
3%
0 – 2
1.8%
1 – 2
1.5%
3 – 0
1.4%
3 – 1
0.7%
2 – 2
0.6%
4 – 0
0.2%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 25% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 12% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
71%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.