Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 6 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 James Wilson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 6 | Played | 7 |
| 3 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 3 |
| 11 | Scored | 11 |
| 11 | Conceded | 11 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 50% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Millwall FC are 12th (9 pts). Stoke City FC are 9th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
–/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 2 G |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G |
| Tairyk Arconte | 2 G |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G | |
| Eric Bocat | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at The Den as Millwall FC face off against Stoke City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The 21-year-old Mihailo Ivanovic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Stoke City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' Aidomo Emakhu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
- 35' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' Viktor Johansson, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 50' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ashley Phillips is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 63' Lewis Koumas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
- 64' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Ali Al-Hamadi is replaced by Sam Gallagher on 64 minute.
- 69' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
- 74' Aaron Connolly gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Aidomo Emakhu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Aaron Connolly argues furiously but the card stands.
- 78' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Lewis Baker is replaced by Andrew Moran.
- 83' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 88' Joon-ho Bae has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 384 appearances.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ben Wilmot. He receives a card.
- 90' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Luke Cundle comes on to replace Raees Bangura-Williams.
- The points are shared — Millwall FC 1-0 Stoke City FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5
- 15
- 24
- 8
- 6
-
52
Tristan Crama ↓ Wes Harding 74'
- 1
- 21
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Aaron Connolly 74'
- 26
- 31
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 74'
-
45
Wes Harding ↑ 74'
- 23
- 14
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 90'
- 58
- 54
- 51
- 41
Coach
Alex Neil
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Andrew Moran 78'
- 15
- 6
- 17
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Sam Gallagher 64'
- 26
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Million Manhoef 78'
- 11
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 64'
- 4
- 13
- 5
- 12
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 78'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 78'
- 18
- 35
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| Romaine Sawyers | 1 |
| George Saville | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

