Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Millwall FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC The Den 16,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mihailo Ivanovic pen 90+4' 1–0
Aidomo Emakhu 30' Y
Y 63' Lewis Koumas
Aaron Connolly 76' Y
Y 76' Junior Tchamadeu
Y 90' Ben Wilmot

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

9
5
2
Millwall FC 16 games · Avg 1.5 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2024-11-09 Stoke City FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2023-12-23 Stoke City FC 0–0 Millwall FC 2023-08-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2023-02-25 Stoke City FC 0–1 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
08 Mar Watford FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bristol City FC H 0–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
01 Mar Watford FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#3 Position #17
83 Points 55
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
64 Scored 51
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD -5
1.80 PPG 1.20
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Stoke City FC gets underway.
  • 5' Lukas Jensen, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Japhet Tanganga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Robins might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aidomo Emakhu on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Millwall FC currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 63' Poor challenge from Lewis Koumas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Sam Gallagher on, Ali Al-Hamadi off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 74' Aaron Connolly gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Aidomo Emakhu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Aaron Connolly catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
  • 78' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andrew Moran is hanging Lewis Baker on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' The 23-year-old Josh Coburn has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ben Wilmot.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Raees Bangura-Williams is replaced by Luke Cundle on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alex Neil

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mark Robins

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jacob Brown 2
Tom Bradshaw 2
Charlie Cresswell 2
Josh Coburn 2
Jed Wallace 1
Ben Gibson 1
Murray Wallace 1
Mihailo Ivanovic 1

Head to Head

2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2024-11-09 Stoke City FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2023-12-23 Stoke City FC 0–0 Millwall FC 2023-08-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2023-02-25 Stoke City FC 0–1 Millwall FC

Millwall FC Form

2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC W 2025-03-12 Leeds United FC 2–0 Millwall FC L 2025-03-08 Watford FC 1–2 Millwall FC W 2025-03-04 Millwall FC 0–2 Bristol City FC L 2025-03-01 Crystal Palace FC 3–1 Millwall FC L 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC W

Stoke City FC Form

2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-03-12 Stoke City FC 1–0 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-08 Coventry City FC 3–2 Stoke City FC L 2025-03-01 Stoke City FC 0–0 Watford FC D 2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-22 Norwich City FC 4–2 Stoke City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC54% Draw28% Stoke City FC18%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC33% Draw52% Stoke City FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.