Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 James Wilson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Stoke City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Watford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 4 |
| 23 | Scored | 24 |
| 27 | Conceded | 18 |
| -4 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Northern Ireland international Jordan Thompson has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' A quiet spell here at The Den. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aidomo Emakhu on 30 minutes.
- 35' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' Ashley Phillips has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 50' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
- 55' Joe Bryan is a natural left-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
- 60' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 63' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 64' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Ali Al-Hamadi exits the field as Sam Gallagher enters on 64.
- 69' Million Manhoef has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Aidomo Emakhu exits the field as Aaron Connolly enters on 74.
- 76' Aaron Connolly has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
- 78' Andrew Moran is replacing Lewis Baker for the Stoke City FC side.
- 83' With 1 assists to his name this season, Raees Bangura-Williams is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 88' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 90' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 90.
- 90' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Raees Bangura-Williams exits the field as Luke Cundle enters on 90.
- It finishes all square. Millwall FC and Stoke City FC share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5
- 15
- 24
- 8
- 6
-
52
Tristan Crama ↓ Wes Harding 74'
- 1
- 21
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Aaron Connolly 74'
- 26
- 31
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 74'
-
45
Wes Harding ↑ 74'
- 23
- 14
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 90'
- 58
- 54
- 51
- 41
Coach
Alex Neil
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Andrew Moran 78'
- 15
- 6
- 17
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Sam Gallagher 64'
- 26
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Million Manhoef 78'
- 11
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 64'
- 4
- 13
- 5
- 12
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 78'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 78'
- 18
- 35
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| George Saville | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
55%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

