Saturday , 12 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC The Den 16,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mihailo Ivanovic pen 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
08 Mar Watford FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bristol City FC H 0–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
01 Mar Watford FC H 0–0 D
25 Feb Middlesbrough FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#12 Position #9
9 Points 10
6 Played 7
3 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
11 Scored 11
11 Conceded 11
+0 GD +0
1.50 PPG 1.43
50% Win % 43%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Millwall FC are 12th (9 pts). Stoke City FC are 9th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/2
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 2 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Tairyk Arconte 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G
Justin Devenny 2 G
Eric Bocat 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at The Den as Millwall FC face off against Stoke City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' The 21-year-old Mihailo Ivanovic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Stoke City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Aidomo Emakhu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
  • 35' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' Viktor Johansson, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ashley Phillips is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 63' Lewis Koumas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Ali Al-Hamadi is replaced by Sam Gallagher on 64 minute.
  • 69' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 74' Aaron Connolly gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Aidomo Emakhu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Aaron Connolly argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Lewis Baker is replaced by Andrew Moran.
  • 83' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 88' Joon-ho Bae has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 384 appearances.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ben Wilmot. He receives a card.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Luke Cundle comes on to replace Raees Bangura-Williams.
  • The points are shared — Millwall FC 1-0 Stoke City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC52% Draw24% Stoke City FC24%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC35% Draw43% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.