Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Oct 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
04 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–0 W
01 Oct Coventry City FC H 0–4 L
27 Sep Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Watford FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Millwall FC A 0–2 L
18 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–0 W
04 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#11 Position #7
11 Points 13
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
15 Scored 13
15 Conceded 12
+0 GD +1
1.38 PPG 1.63
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.76 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC52% Draw24% Stoke City FC24%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw44% Stoke City FC21%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.