Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Oct 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
04 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–0 W
01 Oct Coventry City FC H 0–4 L
27 Sep Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Watford FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Millwall FC A 0–2 L
18 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–0 W
04 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#3 Position #17
83 Points 55
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
64 Scored 51
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD -5
1.80 PPG 1.20
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Millwall FC gets underway.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC56% Draw28% Stoke City FC16%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Stoke City FC
44%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw53% Stoke City FC12%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.8%
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 26% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.