Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Motherwell FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Motherwell FC H 0–5 L
14 Feb Hibernian FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 3–4 L
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Dundee FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb St. Mirren FC A 5–0 W
15 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
11 Feb Rangers FC H 1–1 D
31 Jan Livingston FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 4–0 W
10 Jan Hibernian FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Motherwell FC
#10 Position #4
30 Points 54
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 7
27 Scored 52
48 Conceded 29
-21 GD +23
0.91 PPG 1.64
21% Win % 42%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.47 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 67% + Motherwell FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC13% Draw21% Motherwell FC66%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
34%
Draw or Motherwell FC
87%
St. Mirren FC or Motherwell FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC6% Draw42% Motherwell FC52%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
16.6%
0 – 1
16%
0 – 3
11.2%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 4
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
2.9%
1 – 4
2.9%
0 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 5% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 26% 74%
+1 26% 25% 49%
+1.5 51% 49%
+2 51% 23% 26%
+2.5 74% 26%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
63%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.