Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
30 Dec Celtic FC H 2–0 W
27 Dec Rangers FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Dundee FC H 1–0 W
13 Dec Dundee United FC A 0–0 D
06 Dec Livingston FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
30 Dec Rangers FC A 1–2 L
27 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Livingston FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Dundee United FC H 2–0 W
03 Dec Aberdeen FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

Motherwell FC St. Mirren FC
#4 Position #10
54 Points 30
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
52 Scored 27
29 Conceded 48
+23 GD -21
1.64 PPG 0.91
42% Win % 21%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.91 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC67% Draw22% St. Mirren FC11%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
89%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
33%
Motherwell FC or St. Mirren FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC47% Draw45% St. Mirren FC8%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
2.6%
1 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 22% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 26% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
59%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.