Thursday , 2 July 2026

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park 5,379 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Westley 12' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Steven McLean
  • Assistant 1 Chris Rae (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May St. Mirren FC H 1–0 W
26 Apr Dundee United FC A 0–3 L
11 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Celtic FC H 1–2 L
21 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–1 L
15 Mar Dundee United FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Dundee FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Livingston FC H 0–2 L
11 Apr Celtic FC A 0–1 L
04 Apr Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
21 Mar Falkirk FC A 2–1 W
15 Mar Rangers FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Dundee FC St. Mirren FC
#9 Position #10
33 Points 30
33 Played 33
8 / 9 / 16 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
34 Scored 27
53 Conceded 48
-19 GD -21
1.00 PPG 0.91
24% Win % 21%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Steven Pressley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 12' GOAL! Ethan Hamilton scores on 12.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Jacob Devaney.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' The referee shows St. Mirren FC player a card on 28.
  • 33' St. Mirren FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brad Halliday on 34.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. St. Mirren FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Yan Dhanda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 49' St. Mirren FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
  • 54' St. Mirren FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering St. Mirren FC that had 289 games and scored 281 goals.
  • 64' St. Mirren FC is showing some good football. However, St. Mirren FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryan Astley made 319 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' Tony Yogane needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 89' It looks surprising St. Mirren FC does not make any changes. Ross Sinclair has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Dundee FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Dundee FC48% Draw30% St. Mirren FC22%
Actual: Dundee FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Dundee FC or Draw
78%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
52%
Dundee FC or St. Mirren FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Dundee FC30% Draw54% St. Mirren FC16%
Actual: Dundee FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Dundee FC

Handicap Dundee FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
46%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.