Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Manchester United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Saint Mary's 31,144 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Matthijs de Ligt
0–2 41' Marcus Rashford
0–3 90+6' Alejandro Garnacho

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Manchester United FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
26 May Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
17 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Southampton FC A 3–0 W
01 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–3 L
24 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
16 Aug Fulham FC H 1–0 W
25 May Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
19 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 3 G 1 A
Bryan Mbeumo 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC26% Draw29% Manchester United FC45%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Manchester United FC
74%
Southampton FC or Manchester United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC18% Draw50% Manchester United FC32%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
9.1%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.