Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,323 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martinelli 20' 1–0
Leandro Trossard 45+1' 2–0
2–1 47' James Justin
2–2 63' James Justin
Leandro Trossard 90+4' 3–2
Kai Havertz 90+10' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Leicester City FCPremier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Leicester City FC H 4–2 W
22 Sep Manchester City FC A 2–2 D
19 Sep Atalanta BC A 0–0 D
15 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Aston Villa FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Arsenal FC A 2–4 L
21 Sep Everton FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Crystal Palace FC A 2–2 D
31 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
24 Aug Fulham FC A 1–2 L
19 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Arsenal FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Leicester City FC does not make any changes. James Justin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It’s high time Mikel Arteta made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' What a strike from Martinelli! The score is 1-0.
  • 21' It’s a booking for Leicester City FC player. Jamie Vardy gets a card.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wilfred Ndidi on 31.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Leicester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' GOAL! Leandro Trossard scores on 45. Assisted by Martinelli
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for William Saliba.
  • 47' GOAL! James Justin scores on 47. Assisted by Facundo Buonanotte
  • 49' It’s gonna be a card for Riccardo Calafiori.
  • 50' Oliver Skipp was booked on 50.
  • 55' Leicester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leicester City FC that had 354 games and scored 510 goals.
  • 63' Goal! James Justin scores his 15 goal in 382 matches.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Stephy Mavididi made 519 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Facundo Buonanotte. He receives a card.
  • 74' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Martinelli departs to be replaced by Raheem Sterling.
  • 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 85' Jordan Ayew has so much to prove this time. He replaces Facundo Buonanotte on 85 minute.
  • 90' Bilal El Khannouss has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oliver Skipp on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Arsenal FC beats Leicester City FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.1 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC60% Draw21% Leicester City FC19%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Leicester City FC
40%
Arsenal FC or Leicester City FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC41% Draw41% Leicester City FC18%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.