Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brentford FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Brentford Community Stadium 16,955 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bryan Mbeumo 43' 1–0
Bryan Mbeumo 65' 2–0
Yoane Wissa 69' 3–0
3–1 90+5' Yukinari Sugawara

Overview

Match Preview

Brentford FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Brentford Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Wade Smith
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Southampton FC H 3–1 W
25 Aug Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
18 Aug Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
19 May Newcastle United FC H 2–4 L
11 May AFC Bournemouth A 2–1 W
04 May Fulham FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
26 May Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
17 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
12 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Brentford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brentford FC53% Draw25% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Brentford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Brentford FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
47%
Brentford FC or Southampton FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brentford FC36% Draw46% Southampton FC18%
Actual: Brentford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Brentford FC

Handicap Brentford FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.