Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Mon 30 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,243 HT 45' · FT 45'
Evanilson 17' 1–0
Dango Ouattara 32' 2–0
Antoine Semenyo 39' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Southampton FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
14 Sep Chelsea FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Everton FC A 3–2 W
25 Aug Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
17 Aug Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–3 L
21 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC get this one started.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' AFC Bournemouth are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 17' Assisted by Marcus Tavernier with the perfectly-timed delivery and Evanilson makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 22' Ben Brereton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 61 goals in his last 390 appearances.
  • 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mateus Fernandes on 27.
  • 32' Brilliant from the ! Dango Ouattara makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 32.
  • 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' GOAL! Antoine Semenyo scores on 39. Assisted by Lewis Cook
  • 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Marcus Tavernier has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Ross Stewart on, Chimuanya Ugochukwu off on 46 minutes.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Milos Kerkez.
  • 51' Magnificent from Taylor Harwood-Bellis! That is 7 goals in 444 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' It’s gonna be a card for Yukinari Sugawara.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Tyler Dibling. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' Justin Kluivert is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dango Ouattara at the 61 minute mark.
  • 66' Southampton FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 70' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Mateus Fernandes is withdrawn and Adam Lallana gets his opportunity.
  • 75' AFC Bournemouth have won 448 goals from 341 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 76' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 76 minute. Evanilson leaves to be changed by Enes Unal.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Ramsdale suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Luis Sinisterra. He replaces Antoine Semenyo on 89 minute.
  • 90' Adam Lallana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth48% Draw27% Southampton FC25%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
52%
AFC Bournemouth or Southampton FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth31% Draw48% Southampton FC21%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.