Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Mon 30 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,243 HT 45' · FT 45'
Evanilson 17' 1–0
Dango Ouattara 32' 2–0
Antoine Semenyo 39' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FCPremier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Southampton FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
14 Sep Chelsea FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Everton FC A 3–2 W
25 Aug Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
17 Aug Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–3 L
21 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AFC Bournemouth is hosting Southampton FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Taylor Harwood-Bellis needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' Jan Bednarek has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 53 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 17' Evanilson puts AFC Bournemouth on the lead.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Southampton FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
  • 32' Goal! Dango Ouattara scores his 12 goal in 434 matches.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' What a strike from Antoine Semenyo! The score is 3-0.
  • 44' It’s high time Russell Martin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' The referee shows AFC Bournemouth player a card on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Chimuanya Ugochukwu is replaced by Ross Stewart.
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Milos Kerkez.
  • 51' GOAL! Taylor Harwood-Bellis scores on 51. Assisted by Mateus Fernandes
  • 52' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 52.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Tyler Dibling.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Justin Kluivert is replacing Dango Ouattara for the AFC Bournemouth side.
  • 66' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Mateus Fernandes departs to be replaced by Adam Lallana.
  • 75' AFC Bournemouth seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 76' Enes Unal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Evanilson on 76 minute.
  • 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aaron Ramsdale made 335 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ross Stewart suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Luis Sinisterra is replacing Antoine Semenyo for the AFC Bournemouth side.
  • 90' Adam Lallana is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth48% Draw27% Southampton FC25%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
52%
AFC Bournemouth or Southampton FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth31% Draw48% Southampton FC21%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
34%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.