Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Mon 30 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,243 HT 45' · FT 45'
Evanilson 17' 1–0
Dango Ouattara 32' 2–0
Antoine Semenyo 39' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Southampton FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
14 Sep Chelsea FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Everton FC A 3–2 W
25 Aug Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
17 Aug Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–3 L
21 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Bournemouth welcome Southampton FC for this crunch clash at Vitality Stadium.
  • 5' Cameron Archer is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Bournemouth tonight.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Iraola might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' The deadlock is broken! Evanilson gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
  • 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Bournemouth side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 27.
  • 32' Brilliant from the ! Dango Ouattara makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 32.
  • 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' Antoine Semenyo does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Bournemouth surge ahead!
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcus Tavernier on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Southampton FC make a change. Chimuanya Ugochukwu trudges off to be replaced by Ross Stewart on 46 minutes.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Milos Kerkez on 50 minutes earns him a card. AFC Bournemouth will be frustrated.
  • 51' Magnificent from Taylor Harwood-Bellis! That is 7 goals in 449 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' A moment of madness from Yukinari Sugawara on 52 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tyler Dibling on 55.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' Dango Ouattara makes way for Justin Kluivert at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Bournemouth.
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Charlie Taylor made 354 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Mateus Fernandes makes way for Adam Lallana at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 75' With 0 assists to his name this season, Chimuanya Ugochukwu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 76' AFC Bournemouth manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Enes Unal is hanging Evanilson on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' AFC Bournemouth started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 89' AFC Bournemouth manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luis Sinisterra is hanging Antoine Semenyo on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Adam Lallana on 90 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Bournemouth players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth48% Draw27% Southampton FC25%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
52%
AFC Bournemouth or Southampton FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth31% Draw48% Southampton FC21%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.