Thursday , 1 October 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Thu 27 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Daniel Robathan
  • Referee
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 0–1 L
21 Apr Arsenal FC A 3–3 D
15 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
08 Apr Manchester City FC H 1–4 L
02 Apr West Ham United FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Southampton FC A 1–0 W
23 Apr West Ham United FC H 0–4 L
15 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–2 W
08 Apr Leicester City FC A 1–0 W
04 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
01 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Southampton FC have kicked off against AFC Bournemouth. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' AFC Bournemouth fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben Selles will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Romeo Lavia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
  • 20' Adam Smith, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Southampton FC have won 428 goals from 353 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Bournemouth is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcos Senesi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Ainsley Maitland-Niles is ready to make an impact after coming on for Romain Perraud at the 36 minute mark.
  • 41' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 46' Lyanco is replacing James Ward-Prowse for the Southampton FC side.
  • 50' What a moment for Marcus Tavernier! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' The 32-year-old Mohamed Elyounoussi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 60' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Che Adams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Theo Walcott on 61 minute.
  • 65' AFC Bournemouth receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 65.
  • 68' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Marcos Senesi is replaced by Illia Zabarnyi on 68 minute.
  • 73' A quiet spell here at St. Mary's Stadium. AFC Bournemouth seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' Kamal Deen Sulemana has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Armstrong on 76 minute.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jefferson Lerma.
  • 78' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. Marcus Tavernier has done his job and it is now time for Adam Smith to step up.
  • 83' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 86' Matias Vina is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Che Adams — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Kieffer Moore is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dominic Solanke at the 90 minute mark.
  • AFC Bournemouth celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC32% Draw30% AFC Bournemouth38%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
68%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw49% AFC Bournemouth28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.