Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Thu 27 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC BournemouthPremier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Daniel Robathan
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 0–1 L
21 Apr Arsenal FC A 3–3 D
15 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
08 Apr Manchester City FC H 1–4 L
02 Apr West Ham United FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Southampton FC A 1–0 W
23 Apr West Ham United FC H 0–4 L
15 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–2 W
08 Apr Leicester City FC A 1–0 W
04 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
01 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Southampton FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Bournemouth that had 335 games and scored 441 goals.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Southampton FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' It’s high time Ruben Selles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Romain Perraud made 435 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' AFC Bournemouth come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' Ainsley Maitland-Niles gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Romain Perraud and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kamal Deen Sulemana, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 46' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — James Ward-Prowse exits the field as Lyanco enters on 46.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Marcus Tavernier — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' international Dango Faissal Ouattara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and AFC Bournemouth are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' Che Adams is ready to make an impact after coming on for Theo Walcott at the 61 minute mark.
  • 65' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marcos Senesi.
  • 68' Illia Zabarnyi is replacing Marcos Senesi for the AFC Bournemouth side.
  • 73' Romeo Lavia has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
  • 76' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kamal Deen Sulemana is hanging Adam Armstrong on the field on 76 minute.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jefferson Lerma on 77.
  • 78' Fresh legs for AFC Bournemouth! Adam Smith comes on to replace Marcus Tavernier.
  • 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Matias Vina. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 89' What composure from Che Adams! The Scotland international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 90' Kieffer Moore is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dominic Solanke at the 90 minute mark.
  • With this win, AFC Bournemouth is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC32% Draw30% AFC Bournemouth38%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
68%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw49% AFC Bournemouth28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.