Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Thu 27 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC BournemouthPremier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Daniel Robathan
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 0–1 L
21 Apr Arsenal FC A 3–3 D
15 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
08 Apr Manchester City FC H 1–4 L
02 Apr West Ham United FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Southampton FC A 1–0 W
23 Apr West Ham United FC H 0–4 L
15 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–2 W
08 Apr Leicester City FC A 1–0 W
04 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
01 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Southampton FC and AFC Bournemouth get this one started.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Southampton FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Bournemouth's shape.
  • 20' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jefferson Lerma, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Romeo Lavia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 36' Ainsley Maitland-Niles gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Romain Perraud and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jan Bednarek is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 46' Southampton FC make a change. James Ward-Prowse trudges off to be replaced by Lyanco on 46 minutes.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Marcus Tavernier — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben Selles will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 60' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' Che Adams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Theo Walcott on 61 minute.
  • 65' Marcos Senesi picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Marcos Senesi trudges off to be replaced by Illia Zabarnyi on 68 minutes.
  • 73' AFC Bournemouth come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 76' The whistle greets Adam Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Kamal Deen Sulemana.
  • 77' AFC Bournemouth player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 78' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Marcus Tavernier is replaced by Adam Smith on 78 minute.
  • 83' Marcos Senesi, a Argentina centre-back, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 86' Matias Vina picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Magnificent from Che Adams! That is 83 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' The AFC Bournemouth bench stirs into life. Dominic Solanke is withdrawn and Kieffer Moore gets his opportunity.
  • Another three points for AFC Bournemouth.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC32% Draw30% AFC Bournemouth38%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
68%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw49% AFC Bournemouth28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.