Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,037 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Dango Ouattara
0–2 16' Ryan Christie
1–3 83' Marcus Tavernier

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 1–3 L
08 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Southampton FC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Everton FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
25 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 5–0 W
18 Jan Newcastle United FC A 4–1 W
14 Jan Chelsea FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Saint Mary's that hosts another battle between Southampton FC and AFC Bournemouth.
  • 5' Cameron Archer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 8' Poor challenge from Lewis Cook. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 10' It’s gonna be a card for William Smallbone.
  • 14' What a moment for Dango Ouattara! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' Ryan Christie makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
  • 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivan Juric will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Antoine Semenyo on 32 minutes.
  • 37' Antoine Semenyo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 49 goals in his last 22 appearances.
  • 42' Kamal Deen Sulemana is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
  • 46' Yukinari Sugawara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Welington on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Bournemouth that had 346 games and scored 460 goals.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from William Smallbone, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 57' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. William Smallbone is withdrawn and Tyler Dibling gets his opportunity.
  • 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 67' A change in the AFC Bournemouth ranks — David Brooks exits the field as Marcus Tavernier enters on 67.
  • 72' The deadlock is broken! Kamal Deen Sulemana gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Alex Scott is ready to make an impact after coming on for Justin Kluivert at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Marcus Tavernier on 78 minutes earns him a card. AFC Bournemouth will be frustrated.
  • 83' Marcus Tavernier doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Joe Aribo as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Manning steps in for Southampton FC.
  • 88' Luis Sinisterra has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Christie on 88 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC27% Draw27% AFC Bournemouth46%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
73%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC20% Draw46% AFC Bournemouth34%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.