Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Bournemouth 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jarred Gillett
- Assistant 1 Darren Cann
- Assistant 2 Richard West
5 games this season
🟨 6.0/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Burnley FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Jan | Manchester United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Feb | Everton FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Liverpool FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Newcastle United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Chelsea FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
AFC Bournemouth this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
| Evanilson | 5 G | 4 A |
| Marcus Tavernier | 5 G | |
| Alex Scott | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Saint Mary's that hosts another battle between Southampton FC and AFC Bournemouth.
- 5' Cameron Archer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 8' Poor challenge from Lewis Cook. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 10' It’s gonna be a card for William Smallbone.
- 14' What a moment for Dango Ouattara! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' Ryan Christie makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
- 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivan Juric will be considering his options from the bench.
- 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Antoine Semenyo on 32 minutes.
- 37' Antoine Semenyo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 49 goals in his last 22 appearances.
- 42' Kamal Deen Sulemana is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
- 46' Yukinari Sugawara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Welington on 46 minute.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Bournemouth that had 346 games and scored 460 goals.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from William Smallbone, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 57' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. William Smallbone is withdrawn and Tyler Dibling gets his opportunity.
- 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 67' A change in the AFC Bournemouth ranks — David Brooks exits the field as Marcus Tavernier enters on 67.
- 72' The deadlock is broken! Kamal Deen Sulemana gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
- 77' Alex Scott is ready to make an impact after coming on for Justin Kluivert at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' A moment of madness from Marcus Tavernier on 78 minutes earns him a card. AFC Bournemouth will be frustrated.
- 83' Marcus Tavernier doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 85' The crowd applauds Joe Aribo as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Manning steps in for Southampton FC.
- 88' Luis Sinisterra has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Christie on 88 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 30
- 35
- 2
- 15
- 14
-
7
Joe Aribo ↓ Ryan Manning 85'
- 32
-
34
Welington ↓ Yukinari Sugawara 46'
- 8
- 20
- 18
Bench
- 21
- 1
-
3
Ryan Manning ↑ 85'
-
16
Yukinari Sugawara ↑ 46'
- 37
-
19
Cameron Archer ↑ 85'
- 29
-
26
Chimuanya Ugochukwu ↑ 46'
-
33
Tyler Dibling ↑ 57'
Coach
Ivan Juric
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
- 4
-
7
David Brooks ↓ Marcus Tavernier 67'
- 13
-
19
Justin Kluivert ↓ Alex Scott 77'
- 12
-
10
Ryan Christie ↓ Luis Sinisterra 88'
- 27
- 11
- 3
- 2
Bench
-
16
Marcus Tavernier ↑ 67'
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 88'
- 40
-
8
Alex Scott ↑ 77'
-
21
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 88'
- 45
- 48
- 47
- 51
Coach
Iraola
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 4 |
| Callum Wilson | 3 |
| Nathan Redmond | 2 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 2 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 2 |
| Dango Ouattara | 2 |
| Danny Ings | 1 |
| Dan Gosling | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
AFC Bournemouth Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Bournemouth win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
73%
Southampton FC or AFC Bournemouth
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | AFC Bournemouth covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

