Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Nov | Tokushima Vortis | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Vegalta Sendai | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare is underway.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Japan international Shuto Machino has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 24' Against the run of play, Yuta Fujihara has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 34' Park Ilkyu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' Diego has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Shuto Machino gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Tarik Elyounoussi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuki Horigome made 279 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 61 minute. Taiga Hata leaves to be changed by Ryo Takahashi.
- 62' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Toshio Shimakawa is replaced by Wataru Harada.
- 67' Tarik Elyounoussi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 68' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Machino gets on the scoresheet on 68 minutes.
- 68' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Naoki Yamada by Taiyo Hiraoka on 68 minute.
- 73' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 78' Kei Koizumi makes way for Yuji Ono at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 79' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Takuya Okamoto departs to be replaced by Koki Tachi.
- 84' Kyo Sato gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Nanasei Iino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Koki Tachi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryota Nagaki on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 20
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↓ Yuji Ono 78'
- 29
- 40
- 4
-
2
Nanasei Iino ↓ Kyo Sato 84'
- 5
- 44
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 62'
-
25
Yuta Fujihara ↓ Shinya Nakano 84'
Bench
-
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 78'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 62'
-
13
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
- 30
- 31
-
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 62'
-
22
Kyo Sato ↑ 84'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 16
-
10
Naoki Yamada ↓ Taiyo Hiraoka 68'
- 13
-
6
Takuya Okamoto ↓ Koki Tachi 79'
- 2
- 8
- 11
- 7
-
14
Akimi Barada ↓ Ryota Nagaki 46'
-
26
Taiga Hata ↓ Ryo Takahashi 61'
Bench
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 46'
- 9
-
41
Ryota Nagaki ↑ 46'
- 23
-
42
Ryo Takahashi ↑ 61'
-
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 79'
-
28
Taiyo Hiraoka ↑ 68'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
2022-02-26
Sagan Tosu FC
1–1
Shonan Bellmare
D
2022-02-19
Shonan Bellmare
0–2
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2021-11-27
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Tokushima Vortis
L
2021-11-20
Vegalta Sendai
0–2
Shonan Bellmare
W
2021-11-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2021-11-03
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–1
Shonan Bellmare
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

