Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Ryota Nagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
19 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–0 W
07 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 3–1 W
03 Nov Yokohama FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
19 Feb Kashiwa Reysol H 0–2 L
27 Nov Tokushima Vortis H 0–1 L
20 Nov Vegalta Sendai A 2–0 W
07 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
03 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Shonan Bellmare — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryota Nagaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 24' Magnificent from Yuta Fujihara! That is 2 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 29' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Tarik Elyounoussi departs to be replaced by Shuto Machino.
  • 51' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Koki Tachi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Taiga Hata trudges off to be replaced by Ryo Takahashi on 61 minutes.
  • 62' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Toshio Shimakawa departs to be replaced by Wataru Harada.
  • 67' The 35-year-old Akimi Barada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 68' The whistle greets Naoki Yamada as he departs to be replaced by Taiyo Hiraoka.
  • 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Kei Koizumi exits the field as Yuji Ono enters on 78.
  • 79' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Takuya Okamoto trudges off to be replaced by Koki Tachi on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Kyo Sato is replacing Nanasei Iino for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Shonan Bellmare player. Ryota Nagaki gets a Yellow card.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw30% Shonan Bellmare28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw52% Shonan Bellmare21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.