Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Feb | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Nov | Tokushima Vortis | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Vegalta Sendai | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Shonan Bellmare — let the battle begin!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryota Nagaki suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 24' Magnificent from Yuta Fujihara! That is 2 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 29' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Tarik Elyounoussi departs to be replaced by Shuto Machino.
- 51' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Koki Tachi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Taiga Hata trudges off to be replaced by Ryo Takahashi on 61 minutes.
- 62' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Toshio Shimakawa departs to be replaced by Wataru Harada.
- 67' The 35-year-old Akimi Barada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 68' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 1-1!
- 68' The whistle greets Naoki Yamada as he departs to be replaced by Taiyo Hiraoka.
- 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 78' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Kei Koizumi exits the field as Yuji Ono enters on 78.
- 79' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Takuya Okamoto trudges off to be replaced by Koki Tachi on 79 minutes.
- 84' Kyo Sato is replacing Nanasei Iino for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
- 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' It’s a booking for Shonan Bellmare player. Ryota Nagaki gets a Yellow card.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 20
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↓ Yuji Ono 78'
- 29
- 40
- 4
-
2
Nanasei Iino ↓ Kyo Sato 84'
- 5
- 44
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 62'
-
25
Yuta Fujihara ↓ Shinya Nakano 84'
Bench
-
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 78'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 62'
-
13
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
- 30
- 31
-
42
Wataru Harada ↑ 62'
-
22
Kyo Sato ↑ 84'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 16
-
10
Naoki Yamada ↓ Taiyo Hiraoka 68'
- 13
-
6
Takuya Okamoto ↓ Koki Tachi 79'
- 2
- 8
- 11
- 7
-
14
Akimi Barada ↓ Ryota Nagaki 46'
-
26
Taiga Hata ↓ Ryo Takahashi 61'
Bench
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 46'
- 9
-
41
Ryota Nagaki ↑ 46'
- 23
-
42
Ryo Takahashi ↑ 61'
-
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 79'
-
28
Taiyo Hiraoka ↑ 68'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
2022-02-26
Sagan Tosu FC
1–1
Shonan Bellmare
D
2022-02-19
Shonan Bellmare
0–2
Kashiwa Reysol
L
2021-11-27
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Tokushima Vortis
L
2021-11-20
Vegalta Sendai
0–2
Shonan Bellmare
W
2021-11-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2021-11-03
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–1
Shonan Bellmare
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

