Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Ryota Nagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan BellmareJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
19 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–0 W
07 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 3–1 W
03 Nov Yokohama FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
19 Feb Kashiwa Reysol H 0–2 L
27 Nov Tokushima Vortis H 0–1 L
20 Nov Vegalta Sendai A 2–0 W
07 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
03 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare is underway.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Japan international Shuto Machino has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 24' Against the run of play, Yuta Fujihara has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' Park Ilkyu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Diego has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Shuto Machino gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Tarik Elyounoussi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuki Horigome made 279 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 61 minute. Taiga Hata leaves to be changed by Ryo Takahashi.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Toshio Shimakawa is replaced by Wataru Harada.
  • 67' Tarik Elyounoussi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Machino gets on the scoresheet on 68 minutes.
  • 68' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Naoki Yamada by Taiyo Hiraoka on 68 minute.
  • 73' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' Kei Koizumi makes way for Yuji Ono at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 79' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Takuya Okamoto departs to be replaced by Koki Tachi.
  • 84' Kyo Sato gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Nanasei Iino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Koki Tachi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryota Nagaki on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw30% Shonan Bellmare28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw52% Shonan Bellmare21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.