Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sat 26 Feb 2022 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Ryota Nagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D
19 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–0 W
07 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 3–1 W
03 Nov Yokohama FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
19 Feb Kashiwa Reysol H 0–2 L
27 Nov Tokushima Vortis H 0–1 L
20 Nov Vegalta Sendai A 2–0 W
07 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
03 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Satoshi Tanaka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 24' Yuta Fujihara doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 29' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' Yuto Iwasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Shuto Machino on, Tarik Elyounoussi off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Ryo Takahashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Taiga Hata on 61 minute.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Wataru Harada. He replaces Toshio Shimakawa on 62 minute.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 68' What a moment for Shuto Machino! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Naoki Yamada is replaced by Taiyo Hiraoka on 68 minute.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryota Nagaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' Yuji Ono gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Kei Koizumi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Koki Tachi is replacing Takuya Okamoto for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Kyo Sato comes on to replace Nanasei Iino.
  • 89' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryota Nagaki on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw30% Shonan Bellmare28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw52% Shonan Bellmare21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.