Thursday , 2 July 2026

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 7 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Saitama Stadium 2002 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Saitama Stadium 2002.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
03 Apr FC Tōkyō A 1–2 L
30 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
17 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 4–4 D
10 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
03 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/
61-75
3/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Urawa Red Diamonds is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Thiago Santana puts Urawa Red Diamonds on the lead.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryoma Watanabe made 437 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shusaku Nishikawa, as he is very good at scoring at Saitama Stadium 2002 with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hirokazu Ishihara on 27.
  • 32' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Akito Fukuta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Urawa Red Diamonds that had 439 games and scored 403 goals.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Ayumu Yokoyama on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yusuke Matsuo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 53' What a strike from Yusuke Matsuo! The score is 2-0.
  • 57' Marcelo Ryan is replacing Yuki Horigome for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 62' Marcelo Ryan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 64' The Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Tomoaki Okubo.
  • 66' The whistle greets Wataru Harada as he departs to be replaced by Hikaru Nakahara.
  • 67' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Urawa Red Diamonds team. Yusuke Matsuo is replaced by Shoya Nakajima on 71 minute.
  • 72' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshio Koizumi is hanging Ken Iwao on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Kosuke Yamazaki leaves to be changed by Yusuke Maruhashi.
  • 81' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shinzo Koroki is hanging Thiago Santana on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Goal! Tomoaki Okubo scores his 6 goal in 439 matches.
  • 88' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • With this win, Urawa Red Diamonds is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Urawa Red Diamonds to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Urawa Red Diamonds59% Draw24% Sagan Tosu FC17%
Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
83%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
41%
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Urawa Red Diamonds41% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC14%
Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds

Handicap Urawa Red Diamonds covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 24% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
42%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.