Sunday , 16 August 2026

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 7 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Saitama Stadium 2002 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Saitama Stadium 2002.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
03 Apr FC Tokyo A 1–2 L
30 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
17 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 4–4 D
10 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
03 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/2
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Urawa Red Diamonds kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Thiago Santana has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Hirokazu Ishihara on 27 minutes earns him a card. Urawa Red Diamonds will be frustrated.
  • 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 37' Japan international Ayumu Yokoyama has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Urawa Red Diamonds that had 439 games and scored 403 goals.
  • 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Ayumu Yokoyama on 46 minute.
  • 51' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' A goal from the Japan international Yusuke Matsuo! He fires home on 53 to make it 2-0!
  • 57' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Marcelo Ryan.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Per-Mathias Høgmo will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' Urawa Red Diamonds ring the changes. Naoki Maeda has done his job and it is now time for Tomoaki Okubo to step up.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FCHikaru Nakahara on, Wataru Harada off on 66 minutes.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Kosuke Yamazaki. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' Yusuke Matsuo makes way for Shoya Nakajima at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Urawa Red Diamonds.
  • 72' Urawa Red Diamonds make a change. Ken Iwao trudges off to be replaced by Yoshio Koizumi on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Urawa Red Diamonds are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Kosuke Yamazaki as he leaves the pitch. Yusuke Maruhashi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 81' The whistle greets Thiago Santana as he departs to be replaced by Shinzo Koroki.
  • 83' What a strike from Tomoaki Okubo! The score is 3-0.
  • 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Urawa Red Diamonds to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Urawa Red Diamonds59% Draw24% Sagan Tosu FC17%
Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
83%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
41%
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Urawa Red Diamonds41% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC14%
Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds

Handicap Urawa Red Diamonds covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 24% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
42%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.