Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Saitama Stadium 2002.
- Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | A | 4–4 | D |
| 10 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
3/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Urawa Red Diamonds is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Thiago Santana puts Urawa Red Diamonds on the lead.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryoma Watanabe made 437 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shusaku Nishikawa, as he is very good at scoring at Saitama Stadium 2002 with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hirokazu Ishihara on 27.
- 32' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Akito Fukuta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Urawa Red Diamonds that had 439 games and scored 403 goals.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Ayumu Yokoyama on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yusuke Matsuo suffering a number of foals already.
- 53' What a strike from Yusuke Matsuo! The score is 2-0.
- 57' Marcelo Ryan is replacing Yuki Horigome for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
- 62' Marcelo Ryan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 64' The Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Tomoaki Okubo.
- 66' The whistle greets Wataru Harada as he departs to be replaced by Hikaru Nakahara.
- 67' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
- 71' It is a substitution in Urawa Red Diamonds team. Yusuke Matsuo is replaced by Shoya Nakajima on 71 minute.
- 72' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshio Koizumi is hanging Ken Iwao on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
- 79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Kosuke Yamazaki leaves to be changed by Yusuke Maruhashi.
- 81' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shinzo Koroki is hanging Thiago Santana on the field on 81 minute.
- 83' Goal! Tomoaki Okubo scores his 6 goal in 439 matches.
- 88' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- With this win, Urawa Red Diamonds is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
12
Thiago Santana ↓ Shinzo Koroki 81'
- 1
- 4
-
38
Naoki Maeda ↓ Tomoaki Okubo 64'
-
24
Yusuke Matsuo ↓ Shoya Nakajima 71'
- 5
- 13
-
6
Ken Iwao ↓ Yoshio Koizumi 72'
-
3
Atsuki Ito ↓ Kaito Yasui 81'
- 20
Bench
-
10
Shoya Nakajima ↑ 71'
-
30
Shinzo Koroki ↑ 81'
- 66
-
21
Tomoaki Okubo ↑ 64'
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↑ 72'
-
25
Kaito Yasui ↑ 81'
- 16
Coach
Per-Mathias Høgmo
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 3
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 46'
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Marcelo Ryan 57'
- 23
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 66'
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
-
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 79'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 57'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 66'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 46'
- 12
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 3 |
| Shinzo Koroki | 2 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Yuki Muto | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Tomoaki Okubo | 1 |
| Riki Harakawa | 1 |
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds Form
2024-04-07
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-04-03
FC Tōkyō
2–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2024-03-30
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-03-17
Shonan Bellmare
4–4
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-03-10
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2024-03-03
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–1
Tokyo Verdy
D
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
83%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
41%
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds
| Handicap | Urawa Red Diamonds covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

