Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Shonan Bellmare
2 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Mon 6 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Min-tae Kim 37' Y
Kazunari Ono 45' Y
Y 70' Wataru Harada
Y 77' Seiji Kimura
Yuto Suzuki 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
5
5
Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
27 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–3 D
20 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
13 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–2 D
07 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Seiji Kimura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 13' Cayman Togashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Sho Fukuda adds to his 0 season tally! Shonan Bellmare lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' Shonan Bellmare receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 42' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 45' The referee shows Shonan Bellmare player a card on 45.
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! Hiroyuki Abe gets on the scoresheet on 46 minutes.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Akimi Barada is replaced by Satoshi Tanaka.
  • 51' Shonan Bellmare are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 56' Vinicius Araujo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 288 appearances.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Ayumu Yokoyama. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi on 58 minute.
  • 63' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
  • 69' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yoichi Naganuma by Yuki Horigome on 69 minute.
  • 70' Wataru Harada was booked on 70.
  • 71' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 71 minute. Masaki Ikeda leaves to be changed by Naoki Yamada.
  • 76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 77' Seiji Kimura was booked on 77.
  • 79' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Cayman Togashi is withdrawn and Vinicius Araujo gets his opportunity.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Kohei Okuno. He replaces Taiyo Hiraoka on 82 minute.
  • 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 89' Sho Fukuda makes way for Hisatsugu Ishii at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Yuto Suzuki. He receives a card.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2

Head to Head

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-04-27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3–3 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-20 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-13 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare49% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
75%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.