Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Shonan Bellmare

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Mon 6 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Min-tae Kim 37' Y

Kazunari Ono 45' Y

Y 70' Wataru Harada

Y 77' Seiji Kimura

Yuto Suzuki 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Kashima Antlers	A	1–3	L
27 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	3–3	D
20 Apr	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
13 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	2–2	D
07 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
03 May	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–2	L
28 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
20 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	4–2	W
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
07 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
13' Cayman Togashi puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
18' The 28-year-old So Kawahara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' A stunning finish from Sho Fukuda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
35' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
37' Min-tae Kim is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
42' Kohei Tezuka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
45' Poor challenge from Kazunari Ono. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
46' Hiroyuki Abe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
46' The crowd applauds Akimi Barada as he leaves the pitch. Satoshi Tanaka steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
51' Shonan Bellmare have won 315 goals from 418 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
58' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Taichi Kikuchi is replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama on 58 minute.
63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
68' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Naoyuki Fujita comes on to replace Kohei Tezuka.
69' The crowd applauds Yoichi Naganuma as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Horigome steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wataru Harada.
71' The crowd applauds Masaki Ikeda as he leaves the pitch. Naoki Yamada steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
76' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
77' A moment of madness from Seiji Kimura on 77 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Cayman Togashi leaves to be changed by Vinicius Araujo.
82' Taiyo Hiraoka makes way for Kohei Okuno at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
87' Japan international Masaki Ikeda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
89' Hisatsugu Ishii has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sho Fukuda on 89 minute.
90' Shonan Bellmare receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Shonan Bellmare players.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Naoki Yamada ↑ 71'
2
Daiki Sugioka
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 82'
5
Satoshi Tanaka ↑ 46'
21
Hiroki Mawatari
77
Hisatsugu Ishii ↑ 89'
34
Keigo Watanabe ↑ 82'

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Vinicius Araujo 79'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 68'
99
Marcelo Ryan
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Yuki Horigome 69'
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 58'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 79'
5
So Kawahara
20
Tae-hyeon Kim

Bench

11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 79'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 68'
28
Yusuke Maruhashi
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 79'
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 69'
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 58'
1
Arnau Riera

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shuto Machino	4
Yuki Ohashi	4
Yuji Ono	4
Cho Donggeon	2
Daichi Hayashi	2
Sho Fukuda	2
Yuta Fujihara	2
Isaac Cuenca	2

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-04-27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3–3 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-20 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-13 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare49% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC25%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

75%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

51%

Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.2%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.