Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
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Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 17 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 15 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 SE Palmeiras 17 38 2 CR Flamengo 16 31 3 Fluminense FC 17 30 4 CA Paranaense 17 27 5 Sao Paulo FC 17 25 6 EC Bahia 15 23 7 Coritiba FBC 16 23 8 RB Bragantino 16 23 9 Cruzeiro EC 17 23 10 Botafogo FR 16 22 11 CA Mineiro 17 22 12 EC Vitoria 16 22 13 SC Internacional 17 21 14 Gremio FBPA 17 21 15 CR Vasco da Gama 16 20 16 SC Corinthians Paulista 17 19 17 Santos FC 17 18 18 Mirassol FC 16 16 19 Clube do Remo 17 15 20 Chapecoense AF 16 9 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D 26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W 18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L 11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L 04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W 01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D 25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D 19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L 11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W 05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L 01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W Season Stats
Sao Paulo FC EC Bahia #5 Position #6 25 Points 23 17 Played 15 7 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 4 23 Scored 21 19 Conceded 19 +4 GD +2 1.47 PPG 1.53 41% Win % 40% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history24% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season27% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this seasonSao Paulo FC are 5th (25 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC0-153/–16-302/331-451/246-60–/361-752/276+4/4■ Scored ■ ConcededEC Bahia0-151/–16-301/331-451/346-601/–61-753/276+5/2■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FCLuciano 6 G 1 A Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A Ferreira 4 G EC BahiaLuciano Juba 7 G 1 A Willian Jose 3 G 1 A Everaldo 3 G -
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Morumbi. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Cauly needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' It’s high time Roger Machado made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 17' Sao Paulo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Artur Guimaraes on 17.
- 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 321 games and scored 297 goals.
- 32' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' Nicolas Acevedo was booked on 41.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Damian Bobadilla. He receives a card.
- 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leo Vieira suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Damian Bobadilla, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 62' What a strike from Luciano Juba! The score is 1-1.
- 67' Rafael Monteiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 72' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. David Duarte has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 73' Sensational shot from Ferreira. Sao Paulo FC is back in the lead.
- 78' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Mateo Sanabria gets a card.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
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Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 37
- 18
- 80
- 9
- 28
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 16
- 94
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 7
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 31
- 4
- 54
- 48
- 14
- 45
Coach Roger MachadoEC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 12
- 22
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
- 16
- 99
Bench
- 7
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 34
- 27
- 11
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 3
- 31
Coach Rogério Ceni -
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Luciano 6 Willian Jose 2 Edigar Junio 2 Ferreira 2 Edigar Junio 2 Rossi 1 Caio Paulista 1 Damian Bobadilla 1 Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
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Prediction accuracy2 / 41.8 Sao Paulo FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.16 EC Bahia xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.96Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 56% 44% ± 3.5 34% 66% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 76%Draw or EC Bahia 49%Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11.7%2 – 1 9.4%1 – 0 8.6%2 – 0 8.3%0 – 0 7%1 – 2 6%3 – 1 5.6%2 – 2 Actual0 – 1 5.2%3 – 0 4.9%0 – 2 3.5%3 – 2 3.3%Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers -2.5 13% — 87% -2 13% 16% 71% -1.5 29% — 71% -1 29% 22% 49% -0.5 51% — 49% +0.5 77% — 23% +1 77% 14% 10% +1.5 90% — 10% +2 90% 7% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet 32% ✓EC Bahia keeps clean sheet 17% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.