Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 23 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 36 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 27 | Points | 36 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 9 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 32 |
| 26 | Conceded | 27 |
| +1 | GD | +5 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 32% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sao Paulo FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Luciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 17' Sao Paulo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Artur Guimaraes on 17.
- 22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 27' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Acevedo on 41.
- 45' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Damian Bobadilla gets a card.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roger Machado might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 62' Luciano Juba doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Everton Ribeiro, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 73' Against the run of play, Ferreira has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roger Machado will be considering his options from the bench.
- 81' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 81.
- 86' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 90' Mateo Sanabria was booked on 90.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 37
- 18
- 80
- 9
- 28
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 16
- 94
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 7
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 31
- 4
- 54
- 48
- 14
- 45
Coach
Roger Machado
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 12
- 22
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
- 16
- 99
Bench
- 7
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 34
- 27
- 11
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 3
- 31
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Shaylon | 1 |
| Lizeiro | 1 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

