Saturday , 26 September 2026

SC Recife vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 58' Maik
Kevyson 81' Y
Lucas Lima 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug São Paulo FC H 2–2 D
10 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
02 Aug EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Santos FC H 2–2 D
24 Jul EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
20 Jul Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
03 Aug SC Internacional A 2–1 W
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Ilha do Retiro. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SC Recife and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' The Brazil Lucas Lima breaks the deadlock on 5 minutes. 1-0!
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Paulista might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Ferreira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' That is a card for SC Recife. Christian Rivera will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Igor Carius exits the field as Kevyson enters on 46.
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Derik Lacerda makes it 2-0.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Derik Lacerda on 52.
  • 57' The whistle greets Juan Dinenno as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 58' Maik catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 58.
  • 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 66' GOAL! Lucas Moura scores on 66. Assisted by Henrique Fabiano
  • 68' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Luan departs to be replaced by Damian Bobadilla.
  • 73' Pedro Augusto is replacing Matheusinho for the SC Recife side.
  • 74' Pablo Felipe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Derik Lacerda at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 81' Kevyson is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
  • 82' Chrystian Barletta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leo Augusto at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Lucas Lima. He receives a card.
  • 90' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Lucas Lima is replaced by Joao Silva.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.1 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or São Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife32% Draw30% São Paulo FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
62%
Draw or São Paulo FC
68%
SC Recife or São Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife23% Draw50% São Paulo FC27%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.