SC Recife vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | São Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Lucas Lima does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' SC Recife are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' ze Lucas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Christian Rivera.
- 46' Kevyson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Igor Carius on 46 minute.
- 50' A stunning finish from Derik Lacerda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 52' Derik Lacerda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
- 57' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre Silva is hanging Juan Dinenno on the field on 57 minute.
- 58' Maik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
- 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 66' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Moura gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
- 68' The whistle greets Luan as he departs to be replaced by Damian Bobadilla.
- 73' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedro Augusto is hanging Matheusinho on the field on 73 minute.
- 74' Another change for SC Recife made on 74 minute. Derik Lacerda leaves to be changed by Pablo Felipe.
- 79' Rafael Thyere has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! Kevyson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' Chrystian Barletta gets the nod from SC Recife. He replaces Leo Augusto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Lima.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Joao Silva. He replaces Lucas Lima on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
- 15
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Kevyson 46'
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Joao Silva 90'
- 33
- 38
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Pablo Felipe 74'
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Pedro Augusto 73'
- 14
- 58
Bench
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 74'
- 19
- 11
- 22
- 9
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 73'
- 13
-
3
Kevyson ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Silva ↑ 90'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 82'
- 20
- 46
Coach
Daniel Paulista
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Luan ↓ Damian Bobadilla 68'
-
28
Alan Franco ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 57'
- 35
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Henrique Fabiano 57'
- 36
- 29
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↓ Lucas Moura 46'
- 50
-
19
Juan Dinenno ↓ Andre Silva 57'
- 42
- 14
Bench
- 6
-
7
Lucas Moura ↑ 46'
- 13
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 57'
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 57'
- 12
-
21
Damian Bobadilla ↑ 68'
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 57'
- 34
- 56
- 46
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Santiago Trellez | 1 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
| Marlone | 1 |
| Gabriel Sara | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Lucas Lima | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.1
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
SC Recife or São Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
62%
Draw or São Paulo FC
68%
SC Recife or São Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Recife win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
