Wednesday , 11 November 2026

SC Recife vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 58' Maik
Kevyson 81' Y
Lucas Lima 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug São Paulo FC H 2–2 D
10 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
02 Aug EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Santos FC H 2–2 D
24 Jul EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
20 Jul Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
03 Aug SC Internacional A 2–1 W
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' Lucas Lima does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' SC Recife are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' ze Lucas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Christian Rivera.
  • 46' Kevyson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Igor Carius on 46 minute.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Derik Lacerda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' Derik Lacerda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
  • 57' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre Silva is hanging Juan Dinenno on the field on 57 minute.
  • 58' Maik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
  • 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 66' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Moura gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
  • 68' The whistle greets Luan as he departs to be replaced by Damian Bobadilla.
  • 73' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedro Augusto is hanging Matheusinho on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' Another change for SC Recife made on 74 minute. Derik Lacerda leaves to be changed by Pablo Felipe.
  • 79' Rafael Thyere has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Kevyson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' Chrystian Barletta gets the nod from SC Recife. He replaces Leo Augusto and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Lima.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Joao Silva. He replaces Lucas Lima on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.1 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or São Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife32% Draw30% São Paulo FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
62%
Draw or São Paulo FC
68%
SC Recife or São Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife23% Draw50% São Paulo FC27%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.