Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jun | FC Tokyo | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sanfrecce Hiroshima launch into their encounter with Gamba Osaka.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Sho Sasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 11' Ryoya Yamashita has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 11.
- 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 19' The Japan Sota Nakamura breaks the deadlock on 19 minutes. 1-0!
- 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Issam Jebali on 22.
- 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' Genta Miura is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Juan Alano is hanging Ryoya Yamashita on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Makoto Mitsuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' Poor challenge from Shuto Abe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' Shota Fukuoka is replacing Welton for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 66' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Kosuke Kinoshita.
- 71' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 72' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Ryo Germain is replaced by Yotaro Nakajima on 72 minute.
- 75' Valere Germain gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Sota Nakamura and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Takeru Kishimoto gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Genta Miura and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Satoshi Tanaka made 418 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kanji Okunuki is booked for Gamba Osaka — card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 72'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 66'
- 33
- 4
- 14
- 15
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Valere Germain 75'
Bench
- 10
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 75'
- 18
- 3
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 66'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 72'
- 26
- 37
- 45
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Deniz Hummet 80'
-
5
Genta Miura ↓ Takeru Kishimoto 80'
- 20
- 4
- 13
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Juan Alano 46'
- 16
- 51
- 3
-
97
Welton ↓ Shota Fukuoka 65'
Bench
- 7
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 46'
- 10
-
2
Shota Fukuoka ↑ 65'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 80'
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↑ 80'
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↑ 80'
- 18
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.35
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
75%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
46%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

