Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
10 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
10 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–3 L
20 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W
05 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
28 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–3 L
22 Jun FC Tokyo H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Gamba Osaka
#4 Position #5
30 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 61
33 Conceded 53
+8 GD +8
1.67 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sanfrecce Hiroshima launch into their encounter with Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Sho Sasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 11' Ryoya Yamashita has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 11.
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 19' The Japan Sota Nakamura breaks the deadlock on 19 minutes. 1-0!
  • 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Issam Jebali on 22.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 37' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' Genta Miura is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
  • 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Juan Alano is hanging Ryoya Yamashita on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Makoto Mitsuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 60' Poor challenge from Shuto Abe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 65' Shota Fukuoka is replacing Welton for the Gamba Osaka side.
  • 66' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Kosuke Kinoshita.
  • 71' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Ryo Germain is replaced by Yotaro Nakajima on 72 minute.
  • 75' Valere Germain gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Sota Nakamura and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Takeru Kishimoto gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Genta Miura and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Satoshi Tanaka made 418 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kanji Okunuki is booked for Gamba Osaka — card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.35 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima54% Draw21% Gamba Osaka25%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
75%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
46%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima40% Draw37% Gamba Osaka23%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 19% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.