Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jun | FC Tokyo | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima that hosts another battle between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 11' The referee has no hesitation. Ryoya Yamashita is booked for Gamba Osaka — card on 11.
- 16' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 19' GOAL! Sota Nakamura scores on 19. Assisted by Tsukasa Shiotani
- 22' Issam Jebali picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hayato Araki suffering a number of foals already.
- 32' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Genta Miura.
- 44' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 46' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Ryoya Yamashita has done his job and it is now time for Juan Alano to step up.
- 51' The 26-year-old Shunki Higashi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 60' It’s a booking for Gamba Osaka player. Shuto Abe gets a card.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Shota Fukuoka. He replaces Welton on 65 minute.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Kosuke Kinoshita. He replaces Naoki Maeda on 66 minute.
- 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Yotaro Nakajima comes on to replace Ryo Germain.
- 75' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Valere Germain on, Sota Nakamura off on 75 minutes.
- 80' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Genta Miura by Takeru Kishimoto on 80 minute.
- 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shota Fukuoka made 37 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kanji Okunuki on 90 minutes.
- With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 72'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 66'
- 33
- 4
- 14
- 15
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Valere Germain 75'
Bench
- 10
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 75'
- 18
- 3
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 66'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 72'
- 26
- 37
- 45
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Deniz Hummet 80'
-
5
Genta Miura ↓ Takeru Kishimoto 80'
- 20
- 4
- 13
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Juan Alano 46'
- 16
- 51
- 3
-
97
Welton ↓ Shota Fukuoka 65'
Bench
- 7
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 46'
- 10
-
2
Shota Fukuoka ↑ 65'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 80'
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↑ 80'
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↑ 80'
- 18
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
| Shu Kurata | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.35
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
75%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
46%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

