Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 04:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
16 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–0	D
09 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	4–0	W
02 Mar	FC Tokyo	A	1–1	D
23 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
16 Mar	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–1	W
02 Mar	Albirex Niigata	H	1–0	W
24 Feb	FC Machida Zelvia	A	1–1	D
03 Dec	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka
#4	Position	#5
30	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	61
33	Conceded	53
+8	GD	+8
1.67	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka is underway.
5' Japan international Shota Fukuoka has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kota Yamada suffering a number of foals already.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hayato Araki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
45' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
50' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
55' Shinnosuke Nakatani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
56' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Juan Alano is replaced by Shu Kurata.
61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
66' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Takashi Usami by Isa Sakamoto on 66 minute.
71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuki Ohashi made 418 appearances and scored 42 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
75' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 75 minute. Makoto Mitsuta leaves to be changed by Motoki Ohara.
76' The deadlock is broken! Welton gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
78' Naoto Arai is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
82' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ezequiel is hanging Taishi Matsumoto on the field on 82 minute.
84' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Dawhan has done his job and it is now time for Ryotaro Meshino to step up.
89' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Mutsuki Kato is withdrawn and Yotaro Nakajima gets his opportunity.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Ezequiel ↑ 82'
22
Goro Kawanami
7
Gakuto Notsuda
–
Naoto Arai ↑ 75'
32
Sota Koshimichi
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 89'
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 75'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Shu Kurata ↑ 56'
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 84'
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 56'
33
Shinya Nakano
2
Shota Fukuoka ↑ 84'
35
Joshua Stayman
13
Isa Sakamoto ↑ 66'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-03-16 Vissel Kobe 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-03-02 FC Tokyo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-03-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Jubilo Iwata W 2024-03-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Albirex Niigata W 2024-02-24 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-12-03 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima57% Draw20% Gamba Osaka23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

77%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

43%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima45% Draw34% Gamba Osaka21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

5.7%

1 – 2

4.6%

4 – 1

4.5%

2 – 0

4.1%

4 – 2

3 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	16%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	19%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	12%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.