Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Genta Miura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Riku Handa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 403 appearances.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Shu Kurata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tokuma Suzuki, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
- 55' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Juan Alano is replaced by Shu Kurata.
- 61' The 29-year-old Neta Lavi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 66' Isa Sakamoto gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Takashi Usami and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
- 75' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Motoki Ohara comes on to replace Makoto Mitsuta.
- 76' Gamba Osaka is taking the lead after the goal scored by Welton on 76.
- 78' A stunning finish from Naoto Arai — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 82' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Taishi Matsumoto has done his job and it is now time for Ezequiel to step up.
- 84' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Dawhan departs to be replaced by Ryotaro Meshino.
- 89' The crowd applauds Mutsuki Kato as he leaves the pitch. Yotaro Nakajima steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
-
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↓ Ezequiel 82'
- 8
- 24
- 77
- 33
- 4
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Motoki Ohara 75'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoto Arai 75'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 89'
Bench
-
17
Ezequiel ↑ 82'
- 22
- 7
-
–
Naoto Arai ↑ 75'
- 32
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 89'
-
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 75'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Isa Sakamoto 66'
- 5
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Shu Kurata 56'
- 9
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Neta Lavi 56'
- 3
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 84'
- 97
Bench
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 56'
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 84'
-
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 56'
- 33
-
2
Shota Fukuoka ↑ 84'
- 35
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↑ 66'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-03-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Gamba Osaka
D
2024-03-16
Vissel Kobe
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-03-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-03-02
FC Tōkyō
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-12-03
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
77%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
43%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 19% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.